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Hussein Dey vs Olympique Medea — League #187 2026

Hussein Dey
Hussein Dey
FT
0 – 0
HT: 0 – 0
Olympique Medea
Olympique Medea
10/14/2022League #187League #187 · West - 4Stade du 20 Août 1955

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 5+ matches

Hussein Dey55%
×Draw32%
Olympique Medea13%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 6 more than always backing the home side
Model
49.7%
Always home
44.3%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 49.7% correct across 106,786 matches, vs 44.3% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.7% correct · Away picks 47.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Hussein Dey
1.16
Olympique Medea
0.40

Hussein Dey creates 190% more chances

Season form · 5 home / 34 away

creates per match

Hussein Dey
0.60
Olympique Medea
0.79

allows per match

Hussein Dey
0.00
Olympique Medea
1.71

finishing

Hussein Dey+0.00on par
Olympique Medea+0.00on par

Total goals

79%Under
  • Under79
  • Over21

Fewer than 3 goals likely

Both teams score

77%No
  • No77
  • Yes23

One side may not score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Hussein Dey ↓

Olympique Medea →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–021%
0–18%
0–22%
0–30%
0–40%
1
1–024%
1–110%
1–22%
1–30%
1–40%
2
2–014%
2–16%
2–21%
2–30%
2–40%
3
3–05%
3–12%
3–20%
3–30%
3–40%
4
4–02%
4–11%
4–20%
4–30%
4–40%

Most likely 1–0 (24%) · grid covers 99% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
79%21%1.5
46%54%2.5
21%79%3.5
7%93%4.5
2%98%

Double chance

Hussein Dey or draw
87%
Hussein Dey or Olympique Medea
68%
Draw or Olympique Medea
45%

Winning margin

Hussein Dey wins by 2+
25%
Olympique Medea wins by 2+
2%

Team goals

Hussein Dey 1+ goals
69%
Hussein Dey 2+ goals
32%
Hussein Dey 3+ goals
11%
Olympique Medea 1+ goals
33%
Olympique Medea 2+ goals
6%
Olympique Medea 3+ goals
1%

Draw no bet

Hussein Dey (draw refunded)
81%
Olympique Medea (draw refunded)
19%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
13%
Both score & under 3
10%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Hussein Dey at home — creates 0.60, concedes 0.00 · 5 matches

Olympique Medea away — creates 0.79, concedes 1.71 · 34 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Hussein Dey attack 0.60 + Olympique Medea defence 1.71 → ÷2 → 1.16

Olympique Medea attack 0.79 + Hussein Dey defence 0.00 → ÷2 → 0.40

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 55%?"

Hussein Dey scores more
55%
level
32%
Olympique Medea scores more
13%

Hussein Dey at 55% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 55% does not mean "Hussein Dey will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Match Recap: Hussein Dey vs Olympique Medea

Hussein Dey and Olympique Medea drew 0-0 in League #187 on October 14, 2022.

The match was played at Stade du 20 Août 1955 in Algiers.