Hull City 0–0 Leeds: Result & Stats | Championship

Hull City

FT

0 – 0

HT: 0 – 0

Leeds

9/20/2023

Championship · Round 7The MKM Stadium

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 11+ matches

Hull City33%

×Draw24%

Leeds43%

✓ Correct in 49 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side

Model

48.6%

Always home

43.8%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 48.6% correct across 15,072 matches, vs 43.8% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.1% correct · Away picks 45.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Hull CityExpected goals in this matchLeeds

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

1.38

1.62

Hull City

1.38

Leeds

1.62

Leeds creates 17% more chances

Season form · 51 home / 11 away

1.12

creates per match

1.91

1.33

allows per match

1.64

creates per match

Hull City

1.12

Leeds

1.91

allows per match

Hull City

1.33

Leeds

1.64

+0.00on par

finishing

+0.00on par

finishing

Hull City+0.00on par

Leeds+0.00on par

Total goals

Over58
Under42

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

Yes60
No40

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Hull City ↓

Leeds →

0

1

2

3

4

0

0–05%

0–18%

0–27%

0–34%

0–41%

1

1–07%

1–111%

1–29%

1–35%

1–42%

2

2–05%

2–18%

2–26%

2–33%

2–41%

3

3–02%

3–14%

3–23%

3–32%

3–41%

4

4–01%

4–11%

4–21%

4–31%

4–40%

Most likely 1–1 (11%) · grid covers 96% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5

95%5%1.5

80%20%2.5

58%42%3.5

35%65%4.5

18%82%

Double chance

Hull City or draw

57%

Hull City or Leeds

76%

Draw or Leeds

67%

Winning margin

Hull City wins by 2+

15%

Leeds wins by 2+

22%

Team goals

Hull City 1+ goals

75%

Hull City 2+ goals

40%

Hull City 3+ goals

16%

Leeds 1+ goals

80%

Leeds 2+ goals

48%

Leeds 3+ goals

22%

Draw no bet

Hull City (draw refunded)

43%

Leeds (draw refunded)

57%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals

49%

Both score & under 3

11%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Hull City at home — creates 1.12, concedes 1.33 · 51 matches

Leeds away — creates 1.91, concedes 1.64 · 11 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Hull City attack 1.12 + Leeds defence 1.64 → ÷2 → 1.38

Leeds attack 1.91 + Hull City defence 1.33 → ÷2 → 1.62

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 43%?"

Hull City scores more

33%

level

24%

Leeds scores more

43%

Leeds at 43% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

injuries & suspensions
the matchday lineup
motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
weather & pitch condition
in-game coaching decisions

So 43% does not mean "Leeds will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Player of the match

10

C. Summerville

Leeds · F

8.0

Match Events

-5'

Luke Ayling

21'

C. Summerville← W. Gnonto

43'

52'

54'

60'

60'

62'

62'

69'

71'

71'

80'

Jaden Philogene-Bidace

81'

J. Lokilo← C. Christie

81'

Adama Noss Traoré← R. Slater

88'

S. McLoughlin← L. Coyle

90'

S. Byram← L. Ayling

Possession

Shots

Pass accuracy

Statistics

HullLeeds

Overview

57%Possession43%

9Total Shots17

1.01Expected Goals (xG)1.49

5Corners6

7Fouls15

Shots

9Total Shots17

0On Target4

5Off Target7

4Blocked6

3Inside Box12

6Outside Box5

Passing

57%Possession43%

559Total Passes411

485Accurate Passes339

87%Pass Accuracy82%

Goalkeeping

4Saves0

Discipline

7Fouls15

3Yellow Cards4

0Red Cards1

1Offsides0

Match Recap: Hull City vs Leeds

Hull City and Leeds drew 0-0 in Championship on September 20, 2023.

Hull City controlled possession (57%) and registered 9 shots to 17.

The match was played at The MKM Stadium in Hull.

Hull City vs Leeds — Championship 2025

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Total goals

Both teams score

Player of the match

Match Events

Head to Head

Possession

Shots

Pass accuracy

Statistics

Match Recap: Hull City vs Leeds