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Huddersfield vs Everton — Premier League 2026

Huddersfield
Huddersfield
FT
0 – 2
HT: 0 – 1
Everton
Everton
I. Gueye 77'
C. Tosun 39'
4/28/2018Premier LeaguePremier League · Round 36John Smith's Stadium

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 29+ matches

Huddersfield32%
×Draw28%
Everton39%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50.2%
Always home
44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.2% correct across 585,598 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Huddersfield
1.09
Everton
1.23

Everton creates 13% more chances

Season form · 29 home / 178 away

creates per match

Huddersfield
0.66
Everton
1.06

allows per match

Huddersfield
1.41
Everton
1.53

finishing

Huddersfield+0.00on par
Everton+0.00on par

Total goals

59%Under
  • Under59
  • Over41

Fewer than 3 goals likely

Both teams score

53%No
  • No53
  • Yes47

One side may not score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Huddersfield ↓

Everton →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–010%
0–112%
0–27%
0–33%
0–41%
1
1–011%
1–113%
1–28%
1–33%
1–41%
2
2–06%
2–17%
2–24%
2–32%
2–41%
3
3–02%
3–13%
3–22%
3–31%
3–40%
4
4–01%
4–11%
4–20%
4–30%
4–40%

Most likely 1–1 (13%) · grid covers 99% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
90%10%1.5
67%33%2.5
41%59%3.5
20%80%4.5
9%91%

Double chance

Huddersfield or draw
61%
Huddersfield or Everton
72%
Draw or Everton
68%

Winning margin

Huddersfield wins by 2+
13%
Everton wins by 2+
17%

Team goals

Huddersfield 1+ goals
66%
Huddersfield 2+ goals
30%
Huddersfield 3+ goals
10%
Everton 1+ goals
71%
Everton 2+ goals
35%
Everton 3+ goals
13%

Draw no bet

Huddersfield (draw refunded)
45%
Everton (draw refunded)
55%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
34%
Both score & under 3
13%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Huddersfield at home — creates 0.66, concedes 1.41 · 29 matches

Everton away — creates 1.06, concedes 1.53 · 178 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Huddersfield attack 0.66 + Everton defence 1.53 → ÷2 → 1.09

Everton attack 1.06 + Huddersfield defence 1.41 → ÷2 → 1.23

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 39%?"

Huddersfield scores more
32%
level
28%
Everton scores more
39%

Everton at 39% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 39% does not mean "Everton will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Player of the match

17
I. GueyeEvertonEverton · M
7.9

Match Events

39'
C. Tosun↳ T. Walcott
50'
Jonathan Hogg
59'
P. Billing← C. Quaner
62'
S. Malone← J. Hogg
63'
T. Davies← W. Rooney
72'
O. Niasse← C. Tosun
75'
L. Depoitre← R. van La Parra
75'
Ramiro Funes Mori← N. Vlašić
77'
I. Gueye↳ L. Baines

Possession

53%Huddersfield

Shots

9Huddersfield

Pass accuracy

53%Huddersfield

Statistics

HuddersfieldEverton
Overview
53%Possession47%
9Total Shots7
4Corners3
9Fouls8
Shots
9Total Shots7
2On Target5
2Off Target1
5Blocked1
4Inside Box4
5Outside Box3
Passing
53%Possession47%
496Total Passes427
378Accurate Passes291
76%Pass Accuracy68%
Goalkeeping
3Saves2
Discipline
9Fouls8
1Yellow Cards0
1Offsides3

Premier League: Huddersfield 0–2 Everton

Everton beat Huddersfield 2-0 in Premier League on April 28, 2018.

Goals: C. Tosun (39'), I. Gueye (77').

Huddersfield controlled possession (53%) and registered 9 shots to 7.

The match was played at John Smith's Stadium in Huddersfield.