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Huddersfield vs Burnley — Premier League 2026

Huddersfield
Huddersfield
FT
0 – 0
HT: 0 – 0
Burnley
Burnley
12/30/2017Premier LeaguePremier League · Round 21John Smith's Stadium

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 38+ matches

Huddersfield36%
×Draw28%
Burnley37%
✓ Correct in 49 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
48.6%
Always home
43.8%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 48.6% correct across 15,072 matches, vs 43.8% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.1% correct · Away picks 45.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Huddersfield
1.19
Burnley
1.21

Both teams create about equally

Season form · 38 home / 156 away

creates per match

Huddersfield
0.68
Burnley
0.96

allows per match

Huddersfield
1.47
Burnley
1.69

finishing

Huddersfield+0.00on par
Burnley+0.00on par

Total goals

57%Under
  • Under57
  • Over43

Fewer than 3 goals likely

Both teams score

51%No
  • No51
  • Yes49

Close call

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Huddersfield ↓

Burnley →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–09%
0–111%
0–27%
0–33%
0–41%
1
1–011%
1–113%
1–28%
1–33%
1–41%
2
2–06%
2–18%
2–25%
2–32%
2–41%
3
3–03%
3–13%
3–22%
3–31%
3–40%
4
4–01%
4–11%
4–21%
4–30%
4–40%

Most likely 1–1 (13%) · grid covers 99% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
91%9%1.5
69%31%2.5
43%57%3.5
22%78%4.5
10%90%

Double chance

Huddersfield or draw
63%
Huddersfield or Burnley
72%
Draw or Burnley
64%

Winning margin

Huddersfield wins by 2+
15%
Burnley wins by 2+
16%

Team goals

Huddersfield 1+ goals
70%
Huddersfield 2+ goals
33%
Huddersfield 3+ goals
12%
Burnley 1+ goals
70%
Burnley 2+ goals
34%
Burnley 3+ goals
12%

Draw no bet

Huddersfield (draw refunded)
49%
Burnley (draw refunded)
51%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
36%
Both score & under 3
13%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Huddersfield at home — creates 0.68, concedes 1.47 · 38 matches

Burnley away — creates 0.96, concedes 1.69 · 156 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Huddersfield attack 0.68 + Burnley defence 1.69 → ÷2 → 1.19

Burnley attack 0.96 + Huddersfield defence 1.47 → ÷2 → 1.21

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 37%?"

Huddersfield scores more
36%
level
28%
Burnley scores more
37%

Burnley at 37% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 37% does not mean "Burnley will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Player of the match

26
C. SchindlerHuddersfieldHuddersfield · D
7.9

Match Events

12'
Zanka
46'
T. Smith← F. Hadergjonaj
55'
J. Lolley← T. Ince
73'
S. Vokes← J. Hendrick
76'
Ben Mee
81'
N. Wells← A. Barnes
82'
D. Williams← C. Quaner
90'
Joe Lolley

Possession

56%Huddersfield

Shots

3Huddersfield

Pass accuracy

55%Huddersfield

Statistics

HuddersfieldBurnley
Overview
56%Possession44%
3Total Shots11
5Corners4
14Fouls14
Shots
3Total Shots11
1On Target4
2Off Target5
0Blocked2
0Inside Box9
3Outside Box2
Passing
56%Possession44%
384Total Passes294
284Accurate Passes179
74%Pass Accuracy61%
Goalkeeping
4Saves1
Discipline
14Fouls14
2Yellow Cards1
0Offsides3

Premier League: Huddersfield 0–0 Burnley

Huddersfield and Burnley drew 0-0 in Premier League on December 30, 2017.

Huddersfield controlled possession (56%) and registered 3 shots to 11.

The match was played at John Smith's Stadium in Huddersfield.