Huddersfield 0–0 Brentford: Result & Stats

Huddersfield

FT

0 – 0

HT: 0 – 0

Brentford

1/18/2020

Championship · Round 28John Smith's Stadium

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 70+ matches

Huddersfield33%

×Draw27%

Brentford40%

✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side

Model

50.2%

Always home

44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.2% correct across 585,598 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

HuddersfieldExpected goals in this matchBrentford

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

1.17

1.31

Huddersfield

1.17

Brentford

1.31

Brentford creates 12% more chances

Season form · 123 home / 70 away

1.23

creates per match

1.41

1.22

allows per match

1.10

creates per match

Huddersfield

1.23

Brentford

1.41

allows per match

Huddersfield

1.22

Brentford

1.10

+0.00on par

finishing

+0.00on par

finishing

Huddersfield+0.00on par

Brentford+0.00on par

Total goals

Under55
Over45

Fewer than 3 goals likely

Both teams score

No50
Yes50

Close call

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Huddersfield ↓

Brentford →

0

1

2

3

4

0

0–08%

0–111%

0–27%

0–33%

0–41%

1

1–010%

1–113%

1–28%

1–34%

1–41%

2

2–06%

2–18%

2–25%

2–32%

2–41%

3

3–02%

3–13%

3–22%

3–31%

3–40%

4

4–01%

4–11%

4–21%

4–30%

4–40%

Most likely 1–1 (13%) · grid covers 98% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5

92%8%1.5

71%29%2.5

45%55%3.5

24%76%4.5

11%89%

Double chance

Huddersfield or draw

60%

Huddersfield or Brentford

73%

Draw or Brentford

67%

Winning margin

Huddersfield wins by 2+

14%

Brentford wins by 2+

18%

Team goals

Huddersfield 1+ goals

69%

Huddersfield 2+ goals

33%

Huddersfield 3+ goals

11%

Brentford 1+ goals

73%

Brentford 2+ goals

38%

Brentford 3+ goals

14%

Draw no bet

Huddersfield (draw refunded)

45%

Brentford (draw refunded)

55%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals

37%

Both score & under 3

13%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Huddersfield at home — creates 1.23, concedes 1.22 · 123 matches

Brentford away — creates 1.41, concedes 1.10 · 70 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Huddersfield attack 1.23 + Brentford defence 1.10 → ÷2 → 1.17

Brentford attack 1.41 + Huddersfield defence 1.22 → ÷2 → 1.31

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 40%?"

Huddersfield scores more

33%

level

27%

Brentford scores more

40%

Brentford at 40% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

injuries & suspensions
the matchday lineup
motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
weather & pitch condition
in-game coaching decisions

So 40% does not mean "Brentford will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Player of the match

14

J. Dasilva

Brentford · M

7.8

Match Events

70'

F. Hadërgjonaj← E. Kachunga

70'

J. Valencia← B. Mbeumo

71'

J. Bacuna← F. Campbell

76'

E. Marcondes← K. Mokotjo

81'

A. King← E. Smith Rowe

87'

Christopher Schindler

Possession

Shots

Pass accuracy

Statistics

HuddersfieldBrentford

Overview

37%Possession63%

6Total Shots11

6Corners4

12Fouls8

Shots

6Total Shots11

1On Target3

3Off Target6

2Blocked2

3Inside Box7

3Outside Box4

Passing

37%Possession63%

347Total Passes590

232Accurate Passes464

67%Pass Accuracy79%

Goalkeeping

3Saves2

Discipline

12Fouls8

1Yellow Cards0

2Offsides0