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Hohoe United vs Berekum ChelseaPremier League 2019

5/3/2026Premier LeaguePremier League · Round 31Hohoe Sports Stadium

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 14+ matches

Hohoe United47%
×Draw28%
Berekum Chelsea24%
Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 6 more than always backing the home side
Model
49.7%
Always home
44.3%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 49.7% correct across 106,786 matches, vs 44.3% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.7% correct · Away picks 47.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Hohoe United
1.32
Berekum Chelsea
0.86

Hohoe United creates 53% more chances

Season form · 14 home / 108 away

creates per match

Hohoe United
1.07
Berekum Chelsea
0.73

allows per match

Hohoe United
1.00
Berekum Chelsea
1.57

finishing

Hohoe United+0.00on par
Berekum Chelsea+0.00on par

Total goals

63%Under
  • Under63
  • Over37

Fewer than 3 goals likely

Both teams score

58%No
  • No58
  • Yes42

One side may not score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Hohoe United

Berekum Chelsea
0
1
2
3
4
0
0011%
0110%
024%
031%
040%
1
1015%
1113%
126%
132%
140%
2
2010%
218%
224%
231%
240%
3
304%
314%
322%
330%
340%
4
401%
411%
421%
430%
440%

Most likely 1–0 (15%) · grid covers 99% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
89%11%1.5
64%36%2.5
37%63%3.5
18%82%4.5
7%93%

Double chance

Hohoe United or draw
76%
Hohoe United or Berekum Chelsea
72%
Draw or Berekum Chelsea
53%

Winning margin

Hohoe United wins by 2+
22%
Berekum Chelsea wins by 2+
8%

Team goals

Hohoe United 1+ goals
73%
Hohoe United 2+ goals
38%
Hohoe United 3+ goals
15%
Berekum Chelsea 1+ goals
58%
Berekum Chelsea 2+ goals
21%
Berekum Chelsea 3+ goals
6%

Draw no bet

Hohoe United (draw refunded)
66%
Berekum Chelsea (draw refunded)
34%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
29%
Both score & under 3
13%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Hohoe United at homecreates 1.07, concedes 1.00 · 14 matches

Berekum Chelsea awaycreates 0.73, concedes 1.57 · 108 matches

Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Hohoe United attack 1.07 + Berekum Chelsea defence 1.57 → ÷2 → 1.32

Berekum Chelsea attack 0.73 + Hohoe United defence 1.00 → ÷2 → 0.86

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 47%?"

Hohoe United scores more
47%
level
28%
Berekum Chelsea scores more
24%

Hohoe United at 47% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 47% does not mean "Hohoe United will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Preview: Hohoe United host Berekum Chelsea

May 3, 2026: Hohoe United take on Berekum Chelsea in Premier League. Track every goal, card, and substitution live on Scoreo as the action unfolds.

Hohoe United host Berekum Chelsea at Hohoe Sports Stadium.

Submit your prediction below — exact score, 1X2, total goals, and both teams to score. Earn XP for correct picks.