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Berekum Chelsea vs Hohoe United — Premier League 2019

Berekum Chelsea
Berekum Chelsea
FT
1 – 0
HT: 0 – 0
Hohoe United
Hohoe United
12/14/2025Premier LeaguePremier League · Round 14Golden City Park

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 13+ matches

Berekum Chelsea53%
×Draw30%
Hohoe United17%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 6 more than always backing the home side
Model
49.7%
Always home
44.3%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 49.7% correct across 106,786 matches, vs 44.3% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.7% correct · Away picks 47.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Berekum Chelsea
1.23
Hohoe United
0.56

Berekum Chelsea creates 120% more chances

Season form · 110 home / 13 away

creates per match

Berekum Chelsea
1.32
Hohoe United
0.54

allows per match

Berekum Chelsea
0.58
Hohoe United
1.15

finishing

Berekum Chelsea+0.00on par
Hohoe United+0.00on par

Total goals

73%Under
  • Under73
  • Over27

Fewer than 3 goals likely

Both teams score

70%No
  • No70
  • Yes30

One side may not score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Berekum Chelsea ↓

Hohoe United →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–017%
0–19%
0–23%
0–30%
0–40%
1
1–021%
1–112%
1–23%
1–31%
1–40%
2
2–013%
2–17%
2–22%
2–30%
2–40%
3
3–05%
3–13%
3–21%
3–30%
3–40%
4
4–02%
4–11%
4–20%
4–30%
4–40%

Most likely 1–0 (21%) · grid covers 99% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
83%17%1.5
53%47%2.5
27%73%3.5
11%89%4.5
4%96%

Double chance

Berekum Chelsea or draw
83%
Berekum Chelsea or Hohoe United
70%
Draw or Hohoe United
47%

Winning margin

Berekum Chelsea wins by 2+
24%
Hohoe United wins by 2+
4%

Team goals

Berekum Chelsea 1+ goals
71%
Berekum Chelsea 2+ goals
35%
Berekum Chelsea 3+ goals
13%
Hohoe United 1+ goals
43%
Hohoe United 2+ goals
11%
Hohoe United 3+ goals
2%

Draw no bet

Berekum Chelsea (draw refunded)
76%
Hohoe United (draw refunded)
24%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
19%
Both score & under 3
12%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Berekum Chelsea at home — creates 1.32, concedes 0.58 · 110 matches

Hohoe United away — creates 0.54, concedes 1.15 · 13 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Berekum Chelsea attack 1.32 + Hohoe United defence 1.15 → ÷2 → 1.23

Hohoe United attack 0.54 + Berekum Chelsea defence 0.58 → ÷2 → 0.56

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 53%?"

Berekum Chelsea scores more
53%
level
30%
Hohoe United scores more
17%

Berekum Chelsea at 53% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 53% does not mean "Berekum Chelsea will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Match Recap: Berekum Chelsea vs Hohoe United

Berekum Chelsea beat Hohoe United 1-0 in Premier League on December 14, 2025.

The match was played at Golden City Park in Berekum.