Scoreo

Hohoe United vs Bechem UnitedPremier League 2019

4/12/2026Premier LeaguePremier League · Round 29Hohoe Sports Stadium

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 14+ matches

Hohoe United46%
×Draw28%
Bechem United26%
Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 6 more than always backing the home side
Model
49.7%
Always home
44.3%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 49.7% correct across 106,786 matches, vs 44.3% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.7% correct · Away picks 47.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Hohoe United
1.31
Bechem United
0.91

Hohoe United creates 44% more chances

Season form · 14 home / 108 away

creates per match

Hohoe United
1.07
Bechem United
0.82

allows per match

Hohoe United
1.00
Bechem United
1.55

finishing

Hohoe United+0.00on par
Bechem United+0.00on par

Total goals

62%Under
  • Under62
  • Over38

Fewer than 3 goals likely

Both teams score

56%No
  • No56
  • Yes44

One side may not score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Hohoe United

Bechem United
0
1
2
3
4
0
0011%
0110%
024%
031%
040%
1
1014%
1113%
126%
132%
140%
2
209%
218%
224%
231%
240%
3
304%
314%
322%
331%
340%
4
401%
411%
421%
430%
440%

Most likely 1–0 (14%) · grid covers 99% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
89%11%1.5
65%35%2.5
38%62%3.5
18%82%4.5
7%93%

Double chance

Hohoe United or draw
74%
Hohoe United or Bechem United
72%
Draw or Bechem United
54%

Winning margin

Hohoe United wins by 2+
21%
Bechem United wins by 2+
9%

Team goals

Hohoe United 1+ goals
73%
Hohoe United 2+ goals
38%
Hohoe United 3+ goals
14%
Bechem United 1+ goals
60%
Bechem United 2+ goals
23%
Bechem United 3+ goals
6%

Draw no bet

Hohoe United (draw refunded)
64%
Bechem United (draw refunded)
36%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
31%
Both score & under 3
13%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Hohoe United at homecreates 1.07, concedes 1.00 · 14 matches

Bechem United awaycreates 0.82, concedes 1.55 · 108 matches

Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Hohoe United attack 1.07 + Bechem United defence 1.55 → ÷2 → 1.31

Bechem United attack 0.82 + Hohoe United defence 1.00 → ÷2 → 0.91

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 46%?"

Hohoe United scores more
46%
level
28%
Bechem United scores more
26%

Hohoe United at 46% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 46% does not mean "Hohoe United will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Hohoe United face Bechem United (Premier League)

Premier League returns with Hohoe United hosting Bechem United. Match starts April 12, 2026. Live commentary, lineups, and stats appear here from kickoff. Submit your prediction below for a chance to earn XP.

Hohoe United host Bechem United at Hohoe Sports Stadium.

Submit your prediction below — exact score, 1X2, total goals, and both teams to score. Earn XP for correct picks.