Scoreo

Bechem United vs Hohoe UnitedPremier League 2019

Bechem United
Bechem United
FT
12
HT: 10
Hohoe United
Hohoe United
11/30/2025Premier LeaguePremier League · Round 12Bechem park

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 13+ matches

Bechem United56%
×Draw30%
Hohoe United14%
Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 6 more than always backing the home side
Model
49.7%
Always home
44.3%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 49.7% correct across 106,786 matches, vs 44.3% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.7% correct · Away picks 47.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Bechem United
1.25
Hohoe United
0.47

Bechem United creates 166% more chances

Season form · 109 home / 13 away

creates per match

Bechem United
1.36
Hohoe United
0.54

allows per match

Bechem United
0.41
Hohoe United
1.15

finishing

Bechem United+0.00on par
Hohoe United+0.00on par

Total goals

75%Under
  • Under75
  • Over25

Fewer than 3 goals likely

Both teams score

73%No
  • No73
  • Yes27

One side may not score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Bechem United

Hohoe United
0
1
2
3
4
0
0018%
018%
022%
030%
040%
1
1022%
1111%
122%
130%
140%
2
2014%
217%
222%
230%
240%
3
306%
313%
321%
330%
340%
4
402%
411%
420%
430%
440%

Most likely 1–0 (22%) · grid covers 99% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
82%18%1.5
51%49%2.5
25%75%3.5
10%90%4.5
3%97%

Double chance

Bechem United or draw
86%
Bechem United or Hohoe United
70%
Draw or Hohoe United
44%

Winning margin

Bechem United wins by 2+
26%
Hohoe United wins by 2+
3%

Team goals

Bechem United 1+ goals
71%
Bechem United 2+ goals
36%
Bechem United 3+ goals
13%
Hohoe United 1+ goals
37%
Hohoe United 2+ goals
8%
Hohoe United 3+ goals
1%

Draw no bet

Bechem United (draw refunded)
80%
Hohoe United (draw refunded)
20%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
16%
Both score & under 3
11%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Bechem United at homecreates 1.36, concedes 0.41 · 109 matches

Hohoe United awaycreates 0.54, concedes 1.15 · 13 matches

Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Bechem United attack 1.36 + Hohoe United defence 1.15 → ÷2 → 1.25

Hohoe United attack 0.54 + Bechem United defence 0.41 → ÷2 → 0.47

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 56%?"

Bechem United scores more
56%
level
30%
Hohoe United scores more
14%

Bechem United at 56% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 56% does not mean "Bechem United will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Premier League: Bechem United 1–2 Hohoe United

Hohoe United beat Bechem United 2-1 in Premier League on November 30, 2025.

The match was played at Bechem park in Bechem.