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Hoffenheim U19 vs Saarbrücken U19 — U19 Bundesliga 2019

Hoffenheim U19
Hoffenheim U19
FT
0 – 0
HT: 0 – 0
Saarbrücken U19
Saarbrücken U19
11/29/2025U19 BundesligaU19 Bundesliga · Round 13Dietmar-Hopp-Stadion

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 37+ matches

Hoffenheim U1972%
×Draw15%
Saarbrücken U1913%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50.3%
Always home
44.6%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.3% correct across 577,253 matches, vs 44.6% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.6% correct · Away picks 49.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Hoffenheim U19
3.07
Saarbrücken U19
1.27

Hoffenheim U19 creates 142% more chances

Season form · 78 home / 37 away

creates per match

Hoffenheim U19
3.17
Saarbrücken U19
1.19

allows per match

Hoffenheim U19
1.36
Saarbrücken U19
2.97

finishing

Hoffenheim U19+0.00on par
Saarbrücken U19+0.00on par

Total goals

80%Over
  • Over80
  • Under20

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

68%Yes
  • Yes68
  • No32

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Hoffenheim U19 ↓

Saarbrücken U19 →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–01%
0–12%
0–21%
0–30%
0–40%
1
1–04%
1–15%
1–23%
1–31%
1–40%
2
2–06%
2–18%
2–25%
2–32%
2–41%
3
3–07%
3–18%
3–25%
3–32%
3–41%
4
4–05%
4–16%
4–24%
4–32%
4–41%

Most likely 2–1 (8%) · grid covers 83% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
99%1%1.5
93%7%2.5
80%20%3.5
62%38%4.5
42%58%

Double chance

Hoffenheim U19 or draw
87%
Hoffenheim U19 or Saarbrücken U19
85%
Draw or Saarbrücken U19
28%

Winning margin

Hoffenheim U19 wins by 2+
53%
Saarbrücken U19 wins by 2+
5%

Team goals

Hoffenheim U19 1+ goals
95%
Hoffenheim U19 2+ goals
80%
Hoffenheim U19 3+ goals
58%
Saarbrücken U19 1+ goals
72%
Saarbrücken U19 2+ goals
36%
Saarbrücken U19 3+ goals
14%

Draw no bet

Hoffenheim U19 (draw refunded)
85%
Saarbrücken U19 (draw refunded)
15%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
63%
Both score & under 3
5%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Hoffenheim U19 at home — creates 3.17, concedes 1.36 · 78 matches

Saarbrücken U19 away — creates 1.19, concedes 2.97 · 37 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Hoffenheim U19 attack 3.17 + Saarbrücken U19 defence 2.97 → ÷2 → 3.07

Saarbrücken U19 attack 1.19 + Hoffenheim U19 defence 1.36 → ÷2 → 1.27

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 72%?"

Hoffenheim U19 scores more
72%
level
15%
Saarbrücken U19 scores more
13%

Hoffenheim U19 at 72% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 72% does not mean "Hoffenheim U19 will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Hoffenheim
Saarbrücken
T. Nubbemeyer
Manager: T. Nubbemeyer
S. D`Andrea
Manager: S. D`Andrea

Hoffenheim U19 0 – 0 Saarbrücken U19

Hoffenheim U19 and Saarbrücken U19 drew 0-0 in U19 Bundesliga on November 29, 2025.

The match was played at Dietmar-Hopp-Stadion in Sinsheim.