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Hoffenheim U19 vs Eintracht Frankf U19 — U19 Bundesliga 2019

Hoffenheim U19
Hoffenheim U19
FT
2 – 1
HT: 1 – 1
Eintracht Frankf U19
Eintracht Frankf U19
3/15/2025U19 BundesligaU19 Bundesliga · 2nd Phase Group A - 7Akademie-Arena Rasen 1

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 71+ matches

Hoffenheim U1951%
×Draw19%
Eintracht Frankf U1929%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50.3%
Always home
44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.3% correct across 582,450 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.5% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Hoffenheim U19
2.46
Eintracht Frankf U19
1.84

Hoffenheim U19 creates 34% more chances

Season form · 74 home / 71 away

creates per match

Hoffenheim U19
3.14
Eintracht Frankf U19
2.32

allows per match

Hoffenheim U19
1.36
Eintracht Frankf U19
1.79

finishing

Hoffenheim U19+0.00on par
Eintracht Frankf U19+0.00on par

Total goals

80%Over
  • Over80
  • Under20

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

77%Yes
  • Yes77
  • No23

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Hoffenheim U19 ↓

Eintracht Frankf U19 →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–01%
0–13%
0–22%
0–31%
0–41%
1
1–03%
1–16%
1–26%
1–34%
1–42%
2
2–04%
2–18%
2–27%
2–34%
2–42%
3
3–03%
3–16%
3–26%
3–34%
3–42%
4
4–02%
4–14%
4–24%
4–32%
4–41%

Most likely 2–1 (8%) · grid covers 88% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
99%1%1.5
93%7%2.5
80%20%3.5
62%38%4.5
42%58%

Double chance

Hoffenheim U19 or draw
71%
Hoffenheim U19 or Eintracht Frankf U19
81%
Draw or Eintracht Frankf U19
49%

Winning margin

Hoffenheim U19 wins by 2+
32%
Eintracht Frankf U19 wins by 2+
15%

Team goals

Hoffenheim U19 1+ goals
91%
Hoffenheim U19 2+ goals
70%
Hoffenheim U19 3+ goals
44%
Eintracht Frankf U19 1+ goals
84%
Eintracht Frankf U19 2+ goals
55%
Eintracht Frankf U19 3+ goals
28%

Draw no bet

Hoffenheim U19 (draw refunded)
64%
Eintracht Frankf U19 (draw refunded)
36%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
71%
Both score & under 3
6%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Hoffenheim U19 at home — creates 3.14, concedes 1.36 · 74 matches

Eintracht Frankf U19 away — creates 2.32, concedes 1.79 · 71 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Hoffenheim U19 attack 3.14 + Eintracht Frankf U19 defence 1.79 → ÷2 → 2.46

Eintracht Frankf U19 attack 2.32 + Hoffenheim U19 defence 1.36 → ÷2 → 1.84

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 51%?"

Hoffenheim U19 scores more
51%
level
19%
Eintracht Frankf U19 scores more
29%

Hoffenheim U19 at 51% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 51% does not mean "Hoffenheim U19 will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

U19 Bundesliga: Hoffenheim U19 2–1 Eintracht Frankf U19

Hoffenheim U19 beat Eintracht Frankf U19 2-1 in U19 Bundesliga on March 15, 2025.

The match was played at Akademie-Arena Rasen 1 in Zuzenhausen.