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Hodonín vs Znojmo — Friendlies Clubs 2026

Hodonín
Hodonín
FT
0 – 0
HT: 0 – 0
Znojmo
Znojmo
2/28/2026Friendlies ClubsFriendlies Clubs · Club Friendly

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 6+ matches

Hodonín57%
×Draw19%
Znojmo24%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50.3%
Always home
44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.3% correct across 582,450 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.5% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Hodonín
2.44
Znojmo
1.56

Hodonín creates 56% more chances

Season form · 6 home / 8 away

creates per match

Hodonín
1.50
Znojmo
1.63

allows per match

Hodonín
1.50
Znojmo
3.38

finishing

Hodonín+0.00on par
Znojmo+0.00on par

Total goals

76%Over
  • Over76
  • Under24

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

72%Yes
  • Yes72
  • No28

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Hodonín ↓

Znojmo →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–02%
0–13%
0–22%
0–31%
0–40%
1
1–05%
1–17%
1–26%
1–33%
1–41%
2
2–06%
2–19%
2–27%
2–33%
2–41%
3
3–04%
3–17%
3–25%
3–33%
3–41%
4
4–03%
4–14%
4–23%
4–32%
4–41%

Most likely 2–1 (9%) · grid covers 89% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
98%2%1.5
91%9%2.5
76%24%3.5
56%44%4.5
36%64%

Double chance

Hodonín or draw
76%
Hodonín or Znojmo
81%
Draw or Znojmo
43%

Winning margin

Hodonín wins by 2+
36%
Znojmo wins by 2+
11%

Team goals

Hodonín 1+ goals
91%
Hodonín 2+ goals
70%
Hodonín 3+ goals
43%
Znojmo 1+ goals
79%
Znojmo 2+ goals
46%
Znojmo 3+ goals
21%

Draw no bet

Hodonín (draw refunded)
70%
Znojmo (draw refunded)
30%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
65%
Both score & under 3
7%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Hodonín at home — creates 1.50, concedes 1.50 · 6 matches

Znojmo away — creates 1.63, concedes 3.38 · 8 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Hodonín attack 1.50 + Znojmo defence 3.38 → ÷2 → 2.44

Znojmo attack 1.63 + Hodonín defence 1.50 → ÷2 → 1.56

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 57%?"

Hodonín scores more
57%
level
19%
Znojmo scores more
24%

Hodonín at 57% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 57% does not mean "Hodonín will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Friendlies Clubs: Hodonín 0–0 Znojmo

Hodonín and Znojmo drew 0-0 in Friendlies Clubs on February 28, 2026.