Scoreo
FootballHockeyTennisBasketballVolleyballHandballBaseballRugbyMMAFormula 1

hodd vs Kristiansund BK — Friendlies Clubs 2026

hodd
hodd
CANC
13:00
Kristiansund BK
Kristiansund BK
2/2/2024Friendlies ClubsFriendlies Clubs · Club Friendlies 5TBC

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 7+ matches

hodd54%
×Draw22%
Kristiansund BK24%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50.3%
Always home
44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.3% correct across 582,450 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.5% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

hodd
1.93
Kristiansund BK
1.21

hodd creates 60% more chances

Season form · 7 home / 7 away

creates per match

hodd
2.00
Kristiansund BK
0.71

allows per match

hodd
1.71
Kristiansund BK
1.86

finishing

hodd+0.00on par
Kristiansund BK+0.00on par

Total goals

61%Over
  • Over61
  • Under39

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

60%Yes
  • Yes60
  • No40

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

hodd ↓

Kristiansund BK →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–04%
0–15%
0–23%
0–31%
0–40%
1
1–08%
1–110%
1–26%
1–32%
1–41%
2
2–08%
2–110%
2–26%
2–32%
2–41%
3
3–05%
3–16%
3–24%
3–32%
3–40%
4
4–03%
4–13%
4–22%
4–31%
4–40%

Most likely 1–1 (10%) · grid covers 95% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
96%4%1.5
82%18%2.5
61%39%3.5
38%62%4.5
21%79%

Double chance

hodd or draw
76%
hodd or Kristiansund BK
78%
Draw or Kristiansund BK
46%

Winning margin

hodd wins by 2+
31%
Kristiansund BK wins by 2+
9%

Team goals

hodd 1+ goals
85%
hodd 2+ goals
57%
hodd 3+ goals
30%
Kristiansund BK 1+ goals
70%
Kristiansund BK 2+ goals
34%
Kristiansund BK 3+ goals
12%

Draw no bet

hodd (draw refunded)
69%
Kristiansund BK (draw refunded)
31%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
50%
Both score & under 3
10%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

hodd at home — creates 2.00, concedes 1.71 · 7 matches

Kristiansund BK away — creates 0.71, concedes 1.86 · 7 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

hodd attack 2.00 + Kristiansund BK defence 1.86 → ÷2 → 1.93

Kristiansund BK attack 0.71 + hodd defence 1.71 → ÷2 → 1.21

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 54%?"

hodd scores more
54%
level
22%
Kristiansund BK scores more
24%

hodd at 54% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 54% does not mean "hodd will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Preview: hodd host Kristiansund BK

February 2, 2024: hodd take on Kristiansund BK in Friendlies Clubs. Track every goal, card, and substitution live on Scoreo as the action unfolds.

hodd host Kristiansund BK at TBC.

Submit your prediction below — exact score, 1X2, total goals, and both teams to score. Earn XP for correct picks.