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Hluboka nad Vltavou vs Slavia Vejprnice — 4. liga - Divizie A 2019

Hluboka nad Vltavou
Hluboka nad Vltavou
FT
0 – 0
HT: 0 – 0
Slavia Vejprnice
Slavia Vejprnice
8/18/20244. liga - Divizie A4. liga - Divizie A · Division A - 2Zimní Stadion Hluboká

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 15+ matches

Hluboka nad Vltavou71%
×Draw17%
Slavia Vejprnice12%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50.3%
Always home
44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.3% correct across 582,450 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.5% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Hluboka nad Vltavou
2.42
Slavia Vejprnice
0.90

Hluboka nad Vltavou creates 169% more chances

Season form · 30 home / 15 away

creates per match

Hluboka nad Vltavou
2.17
Slavia Vejprnice
0.53

allows per match

Hluboka nad Vltavou
1.27
Slavia Vejprnice
2.67

finishing

Hluboka nad Vltavou+0.00on par
Slavia Vejprnice+0.00on par

Total goals

64%Over
  • Over64
  • Under36

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

54%Yes
  • Yes54
  • No46

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Hluboka nad Vltavou ↓

Slavia Vejprnice →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–04%
0–13%
0–21%
0–30%
0–40%
1
1–09%
1–18%
1–24%
1–31%
1–40%
2
2–011%
2–110%
2–24%
2–31%
2–40%
3
3–09%
3–18%
3–24%
3–31%
3–40%
4
4–05%
4–15%
4–22%
4–31%
4–40%

Most likely 2–0 (11%) · grid covers 91% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
96%4%1.5
84%16%2.5
64%36%3.5
42%58%4.5
23%77%

Double chance

Hluboka nad Vltavou or draw
88%
Hluboka nad Vltavou or Slavia Vejprnice
83%
Draw or Slavia Vejprnice
29%

Winning margin

Hluboka nad Vltavou wins by 2+
48%
Slavia Vejprnice wins by 2+
4%

Team goals

Hluboka nad Vltavou 1+ goals
91%
Hluboka nad Vltavou 2+ goals
69%
Hluboka nad Vltavou 3+ goals
43%
Slavia Vejprnice 1+ goals
59%
Slavia Vejprnice 2+ goals
23%
Slavia Vejprnice 3+ goals
6%

Draw no bet

Hluboka nad Vltavou (draw refunded)
85%
Slavia Vejprnice (draw refunded)
15%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
46%
Both score & under 3
8%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Hluboka nad Vltavou at home — creates 2.17, concedes 1.27 · 30 matches

Slavia Vejprnice away — creates 0.53, concedes 2.67 · 15 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Hluboka nad Vltavou attack 2.17 + Slavia Vejprnice defence 2.67 → ÷2 → 2.42

Slavia Vejprnice attack 0.53 + Hluboka nad Vltavou defence 1.27 → ÷2 → 0.90

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 71%?"

Hluboka nad Vltavou scores more
71%
level
17%
Slavia Vejprnice scores more
12%

Hluboka nad Vltavou at 71% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 71% does not mean "Hluboka nad Vltavou will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Hluboka nad Vltavou 0 – 0 Slavia Vejprnice

Hluboka nad Vltavou and Slavia Vejprnice drew 0-0 in 4. liga - Divizie A on August 18, 2024.

The match was played at Zimní Stadion Hluboká in Hluboká nad Vltavou.