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Haugesund vs Bryne — 1. Division 2025

Haugesund
Haugesund
Preview
18:00
Bryne
Bryne
7/25/20261. Division1. Division · Round 15Haugesund Stadion
Big match
61%
Haugesund
model favours
61%20%19%

Haugesund have scored in 10 games running

brightest fact of this match

2–1
likely score
64%
over 2.5 goals
60%
both teams score

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 6+ matches

Haugesund61%
×Draw20%
Bryne19%
✓ Correct in 49 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
48.6%
Always home
43.8%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 48.6% correct across 15,072 matches, vs 43.8% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.1% correct · Away picks 45.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Haugesund
2.19
Bryne
1.13

Haugesund creates 94% more chances

Season form · 6 home / 13 away

creates per match

Haugesund
3.00
Bryne
1.08

allows per match

Haugesund
1.17
Bryne
1.38

finishing

Haugesund+0.00on par
Bryne+0.00on par

Total goals

64%Over
  • Over64
  • Under36

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

60%Yes
  • Yes60
  • No40

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Haugesund ↓

Bryne →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–04%
0–14%
0–22%
0–31%
0–40%
1
1–08%
1–19%
1–25%
1–32%
1–41%
2
2–09%
2–110%
2–26%
2–32%
2–41%
3
3–06%
3–17%
3–24%
3–32%
3–40%
4
4–03%
4–14%
4–22%
4–31%
4–40%

Most likely 2–1 (10%) · grid covers 93% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
96%4%1.5
84%16%2.5
64%36%3.5
42%58%4.5
24%76%

Double chance

Haugesund or draw
81%
Haugesund or Bryne
80%
Draw or Bryne
39%

Winning margin

Haugesund wins by 2+
38%
Bryne wins by 2+
7%

Team goals

Haugesund 1+ goals
89%
Haugesund 2+ goals
64%
Haugesund 3+ goals
37%
Bryne 1+ goals
68%
Bryne 2+ goals
31%
Bryne 3+ goals
11%

Draw no bet

Haugesund (draw refunded)
76%
Bryne (draw refunded)
24%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
51%
Both score & under 3
9%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Haugesund at home — creates 3.00, concedes 1.17 · 6 matches

Bryne away — creates 1.08, concedes 1.38 · 13 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Haugesund attack 3.00 + Bryne defence 1.38 → ÷2 → 2.19

Bryne attack 1.08 + Haugesund defence 1.17 → ÷2 → 1.13

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 61%?"

Haugesund scores more
61%
level
20%
Bryne scores more
19%

Haugesund at 61% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 61% does not mean "Haugesund will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Match Insights

  • 80% of Haugesund’s matches go over 2.5 goals
  • Both teams score in 80% of Haugesund’s matches
  • Haugesund score first in only 30% of matches
  • Both sides lean high-scoring (80% and 60% over 2.5)
  • Their last 5 meetings averaged 3.6 goals

Based on historical data — not a prediction.

Form
Haugesund
WWLWW
Bryne
DLWWW

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Preview: Haugesund host Bryne

July 25, 2026: Haugesund take on Bryne in 1. Division. Track every goal, card, and substitution live on Scoreo as the action unfolds.

Haugesund host Bryne at Haugesund Stadion.

Submit your prediction below — exact score, 1X2, total goals, and both teams to score. Earn XP for correct picks.