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Haugesund vs Bryne — Friendlies Clubs 2026

Haugesund
Haugesund
FT
3 – 1
HT: 1 – 1
Bryne
Bryne
E. Derviskadic 77'
T. Nyhammer 65', 25'
E. I. Arsvoll 33'
2/24/2024Friendlies ClubsFriendlies Clubs · Club Friendlies 3Karmøy Storhall

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 9+ matches

Haugesund68%
×Draw18%
Bryne14%
✓ Correct in 49 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
48.6%
Always home
43.8%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 48.6% correct across 15,072 matches, vs 43.8% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.1% correct · Away picks 45.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Haugesund
2.40
Bryne
1.00

Haugesund creates 140% more chances

Season form · 10 home / 9 away

creates per match

Haugesund
2.80
Bryne
1.00

allows per match

Haugesund
1.00
Bryne
2.00

finishing

Haugesund+0.00on par
Bryne+0.00on par

Total goals

66%Over
  • Over66
  • Under34

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

57%Yes
  • Yes57
  • No43

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Haugesund ↓

Bryne →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–03%
0–13%
0–22%
0–31%
0–40%
1
1–08%
1–18%
1–24%
1–31%
1–40%
2
2–010%
2–110%
2–25%
2–32%
2–40%
3
3–08%
3–18%
3–24%
3–31%
3–40%
4
4–05%
4–15%
4–22%
4–31%
4–40%

Most likely 2–0 (10%) · grid covers 91% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
97%3%1.5
85%15%2.5
66%34%3.5
44%56%4.5
25%75%

Double chance

Haugesund or draw
86%
Haugesund or Bryne
82%
Draw or Bryne
32%

Winning margin

Haugesund wins by 2+
45%
Bryne wins by 2+
5%

Team goals

Haugesund 1+ goals
91%
Haugesund 2+ goals
69%
Haugesund 3+ goals
42%
Bryne 1+ goals
63%
Bryne 2+ goals
26%
Bryne 3+ goals
8%

Draw no bet

Haugesund (draw refunded)
83%
Bryne (draw refunded)
17%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
49%
Both score & under 3
8%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Haugesund at home — creates 2.80, concedes 1.00 · 10 matches

Bryne away — creates 1.00, concedes 2.00 · 9 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Haugesund attack 2.80 + Bryne defence 2.00 → ÷2 → 2.40

Bryne attack 1.00 + Haugesund defence 1.00 → ÷2 → 1.00

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 68%?"

Haugesund scores more
68%
level
18%
Bryne scores more
14%

Haugesund at 68% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 68% does not mean "Haugesund will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Match Events

25'
T. Nyhammer
33'
E. I. Arsvoll
65'
T. Nyhammer
77'
E. Derviskadic

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Match Recap: Haugesund vs Bryne

Haugesund beat Bryne 3-1 in Friendlies Clubs on February 24, 2024.

Goals: T. Nyhammer (25', 65'), E. I. Arsvoll (33'), E. Derviskadic (77').

The match was played at Karmøy Storhall in Veavågen.