Scoreo

Hässleholms IF vs OlympicFriendlies Clubs 2026

Big match
48%
Hässleholms IF
model favours
48%28%23%

Olympic have scored in 14 games running

brightest fact of this match

1–0
likely score
64%
under 2.5 goals
41%
both teams score

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 4+ matches

Hässleholms IF48%
×Draw28%
Olympic23%
Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 6 more than always backing the home side
Model
49.7%
Always home
44.3%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 49.7% correct across 106,786 matches, vs 44.3% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.7% correct · Away picks 47.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Hässleholms IF
1.32
Olympic
0.82

Hässleholms IF creates 61% more chances

Season form · 7 home / 4 away

creates per match

Hässleholms IF
2.14
Olympic
0.50

allows per match

Hässleholms IF
1.14
Olympic
0.50

finishing

Hässleholms IF+0.00on par
Olympic+0.00on par

Total goals

64%Under
  • Under64
  • Over36

Fewer than 3 goals likely

Both teams score

59%No
  • No59
  • Yes41

One side may not score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Hässleholms IF

Olympic
0
1
2
3
4
0
0012%
0110%
024%
031%
040%
1
1016%
1113%
125%
131%
140%
2
2010%
218%
223%
231%
240%
3
305%
314%
322%
330%
340%
4
401%
411%
421%
430%
440%

Most likely 1–0 (16%) · grid covers 99% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
88%12%1.5
63%37%2.5
36%64%3.5
17%83%4.5
7%93%

Double chance

Hässleholms IF or draw
77%
Hässleholms IF or Olympic
72%
Draw or Olympic
52%

Winning margin

Hässleholms IF wins by 2+
23%
Olympic wins by 2+
7%

Team goals

Hässleholms IF 1+ goals
73%
Hässleholms IF 2+ goals
38%
Hässleholms IF 3+ goals
15%
Olympic 1+ goals
56%
Olympic 2+ goals
20%
Olympic 3+ goals
5%

Draw no bet

Hässleholms IF (draw refunded)
68%
Olympic (draw refunded)
32%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
28%
Both score & under 3
13%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Hässleholms IF at homecreates 2.14, concedes 1.14 · 7 matches

Olympic awaycreates 0.50, concedes 0.50 · 4 matches

Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Hässleholms IF attack 2.14 + Olympic defence 0.50 → ÷2 → 1.32

Olympic attack 0.50 + Hässleholms IF defence 1.14 → ÷2 → 0.82

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 48%?"

Hässleholms IF scores more
48%
level
28%
Olympic scores more
23%

Hässleholms IF at 48% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 48% does not mean "Hässleholms IF will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Match Insights

  • Olympic have won 3 in a row
  • Both teams score in 83% of Olympic’s matches
  • 72% of Olympic’s matches go over 2.5 goals
  • Both sides lean high-scoring (60% and 72% over 2.5)
  • Both teams score in 70% of Hässleholms IF’s matches
  • Both teams scored in 4 of the last 5 meetings

Based on historical data — not a prediction.

Form
IF
WDDLW
Olympic
WWWDL

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Preview: Hässleholms IF host Olympic

July 25, 2026: Hässleholms IF take on Olympic in Friendlies Clubs. Track every goal, card, and substitution live on Scoreo as the action unfolds.

Submit your prediction below — exact score, 1X2, total goals, and both teams to score. Earn XP for correct picks.