Scoreo
FootballHockeyTennisBasketballVolleyballHandballBaseballRugbyMMAFormula 1

Hapoel Ramat HaSharon vs Hapoel Ramat Gan — Liga Leumit 2019

Hapoel Ramat HaSharon
Hapoel Ramat HaSharon
FT
3 – 1
HT: 0 – 0
Hapoel Ramat Gan
Hapoel Ramat Gan
2/26/2024Liga LeumitLiga Leumit · Round 23Yankele Grundman Stadium

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 111+ matches

Hapoel Ramat HaSharon36%
×Draw27%
Hapoel Ramat Gan38%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50.3%
Always home
44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.3% correct across 582,450 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.5% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Hapoel Ramat HaSharon
1.27
Hapoel Ramat Gan
1.31

Both teams create about equally

Season form · 111 home / 129 away

creates per match

Hapoel Ramat HaSharon
1.41
Hapoel Ramat Gan
1.30

allows per match

Hapoel Ramat HaSharon
1.32
Hapoel Ramat Gan
1.12

finishing

Hapoel Ramat HaSharon+0.00on par
Hapoel Ramat Gan+0.00on par

Total goals

52%Under
  • Under52
  • Over48

Close call

Both teams score

52%Yes
  • Yes52
  • No48

Close call

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Hapoel Ramat HaSharon ↓

Hapoel Ramat Gan →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–08%
0–110%
0–27%
0–33%
0–41%
1
1–010%
1–113%
1–28%
1–34%
1–41%
2
2–06%
2–18%
2–25%
2–32%
2–41%
3
3–03%
3–13%
3–22%
3–31%
3–40%
4
4–01%
4–11%
4–21%
4–30%
4–40%

Most likely 1–1 (13%) · grid covers 98% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
92%8%1.5
73%27%2.5
48%52%3.5
26%74%4.5
12%88%

Double chance

Hapoel Ramat HaSharon or draw
62%
Hapoel Ramat HaSharon or Hapoel Ramat Gan
73%
Draw or Hapoel Ramat Gan
64%

Winning margin

Hapoel Ramat HaSharon wins by 2+
16%
Hapoel Ramat Gan wins by 2+
17%

Team goals

Hapoel Ramat HaSharon 1+ goals
72%
Hapoel Ramat HaSharon 2+ goals
36%
Hapoel Ramat HaSharon 3+ goals
14%
Hapoel Ramat Gan 1+ goals
73%
Hapoel Ramat Gan 2+ goals
38%
Hapoel Ramat Gan 3+ goals
14%

Draw no bet

Hapoel Ramat HaSharon (draw refunded)
49%
Hapoel Ramat Gan (draw refunded)
51%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
40%
Both score & under 3
13%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Hapoel Ramat HaSharon at home — creates 1.41, concedes 1.32 · 111 matches

Hapoel Ramat Gan away — creates 1.30, concedes 1.12 · 129 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Hapoel Ramat HaSharon attack 1.41 + Hapoel Ramat Gan defence 1.12 → ÷2 → 1.27

Hapoel Ramat Gan attack 1.30 + Hapoel Ramat HaSharon defence 1.32 → ÷2 → 1.31

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 38%?"

Hapoel Ramat HaSharon scores more
36%
level
27%
Hapoel Ramat Gan scores more
38%

Hapoel Ramat Gan at 38% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 38% does not mean "Hapoel Ramat Gan will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Match Recap: Hapoel Ramat HaSharon vs Hapoel Ramat Gan

Hapoel Ramat HaSharon beat Hapoel Ramat Gan 3-1 in Liga Leumit on February 26, 2024.

The match was played at Yankele Grundman Stadium in Ramat-ha’Sharon.