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Hannover 96 II vs Wiedenbrück — Friendlies Clubs 2026

Hannover 96 II
Hannover 96 II
FT
0 – 1
HT: 0 – 1
Wiedenbrück
Wiedenbrück
7/18/2026Friendlies ClubsFriendlies Clubs · Club Friendlies

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 7+ matches

Hannover 96 II52%
×Draw20%
Wiedenbrück27%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50.2%
Always home
44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.2% correct across 585,598 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Hannover 96 II
2.26
Wiedenbrück
1.60

Hannover 96 II creates 41% more chances

Season form · 17 home / 7 away

creates per match

Hannover 96 II
3.53
Wiedenbrück
2.14

allows per match

Hannover 96 II
1.06
Wiedenbrück
1.00

finishing

Hannover 96 II+0.00on par
Wiedenbrück+0.00on par

Total goals

74%Over
  • Over74
  • Under26

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

71%Yes
  • Yes71
  • No29

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Hannover 96 II ↓

Wiedenbrück →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–02%
0–13%
0–23%
0–31%
0–41%
1
1–05%
1–18%
1–26%
1–33%
1–41%
2
2–05%
2–19%
2–27%
2–34%
2–41%
3
3–04%
3–17%
3–25%
3–33%
3–41%
4
4–02%
4–14%
4–23%
4–32%
4–41%

Most likely 2–1 (9%) · grid covers 91% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
98%2%1.5
90%10%2.5
74%26%3.5
53%47%4.5
34%66%

Double chance

Hannover 96 II or draw
73%
Hannover 96 II or Wiedenbrück
80%
Draw or Wiedenbrück
48%

Winning margin

Hannover 96 II wins by 2+
32%
Wiedenbrück wins by 2+
13%

Team goals

Hannover 96 II 1+ goals
89%
Hannover 96 II 2+ goals
66%
Hannover 96 II 3+ goals
39%
Wiedenbrück 1+ goals
80%
Wiedenbrück 2+ goals
47%
Wiedenbrück 3+ goals
22%

Draw no bet

Hannover 96 II (draw refunded)
66%
Wiedenbrück (draw refunded)
34%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
64%
Both score & under 3
8%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Hannover 96 II at home — creates 3.53, concedes 1.06 · 17 matches

Wiedenbrück away — creates 2.14, concedes 1.00 · 7 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Hannover 96 II attack 3.53 + Wiedenbrück defence 1.00 → ÷2 → 2.26

Wiedenbrück attack 2.14 + Hannover 96 II defence 1.06 → ÷2 → 1.60

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 52%?"

Hannover 96 II scores more
52%
level
20%
Wiedenbrück scores more
27%

Hannover 96 II at 52% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 52% does not mean "Hannover 96 II will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Hannover
Wiedenbrück
D. Stendel
Manager: D. Stendel
S. Mölders
Manager: S. Mölders

Friendlies Clubs: Hannover 96 II 0–1 Wiedenbrück

Wiedenbrück beat Hannover 96 II 1-0 in Friendlies Clubs on July 18, 2026.