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Hallescher FC U19 vs Viktoria Berlin U19 — U19 Bundesliga 2019

Hallescher FC U19
Hallescher FC U19
FT
0 – 4
HT: 0 – 2
Viktoria Berlin U19
Viktoria Berlin U19
11/22/2025U19 BundesligaU19 Bundesliga · Round 12NLZ HFC - Raab Karcher Halle & Partner Platz

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 37+ matches

Hallescher FC U1947%
×Draw21%
Viktoria Berlin U1932%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50.3%
Always home
44.6%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.3% correct across 577,253 matches, vs 44.6% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.6% correct · Away picks 49.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Hallescher FC U19
2.19
Viktoria Berlin U19
1.79

Hallescher FC U19 creates 22% more chances

Season form · 37 home / 41 away

creates per match

Hallescher FC U19
1.89
Viktoria Berlin U19
1.59

allows per match

Hallescher FC U19
2.00
Viktoria Berlin U19
2.49

finishing

Hallescher FC U19+0.00on par
Viktoria Berlin U19+0.00on par

Total goals

76%Over
  • Over76
  • Under24

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

74%Yes
  • Yes74
  • No26

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Hallescher FC U19 ↓

Viktoria Berlin U19 →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–02%
0–13%
0–23%
0–32%
0–41%
1
1–04%
1–17%
1–27%
1–34%
1–42%
2
2–05%
2–18%
2–27%
2–34%
2–42%
3
3–03%
3–16%
3–25%
3–33%
3–41%
4
4–02%
4–13%
4–23%
4–32%
4–41%

Most likely 2–1 (8%) · grid covers 90% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
98%2%1.5
91%9%2.5
76%24%3.5
56%44%4.5
36%64%

Double chance

Hallescher FC U19 or draw
68%
Hallescher FC U19 or Viktoria Berlin U19
79%
Draw or Viktoria Berlin U19
53%

Winning margin

Hallescher FC U19 wins by 2+
28%
Viktoria Berlin U19 wins by 2+
16%

Team goals

Hallescher FC U19 1+ goals
89%
Hallescher FC U19 2+ goals
64%
Hallescher FC U19 3+ goals
37%
Viktoria Berlin U19 1+ goals
83%
Viktoria Berlin U19 2+ goals
53%
Viktoria Berlin U19 3+ goals
26%

Draw no bet

Hallescher FC U19 (draw refunded)
59%
Viktoria Berlin U19 (draw refunded)
41%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
66%
Both score & under 3
7%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Hallescher FC U19 at home — creates 1.89, concedes 2.00 · 37 matches

Viktoria Berlin U19 away — creates 1.59, concedes 2.49 · 41 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Hallescher FC U19 attack 1.89 + Viktoria Berlin U19 defence 2.49 → ÷2 → 2.19

Viktoria Berlin U19 attack 1.59 + Hallescher FC U19 defence 2.00 → ÷2 → 1.79

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 47%?"

Hallescher FC U19 scores more
47%
level
21%
Viktoria Berlin U19 scores more
32%

Hallescher FC U19 at 47% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 47% does not mean "Hallescher FC U19 will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Hallescher
Viktoria
T. Donath
Manager: T. Donath
H. Keskin
Manager: H. Keskin

Match Recap: Hallescher FC U19 vs Viktoria Berlin U19

Viktoria Berlin U19 beat Hallescher FC U19 4-0 in U19 Bundesliga on November 22, 2025.

The match was played at NLZ HFC - Raab Karcher Halle & Partner Platz in Halle (Saale).