Hallescher FC U19 1–2 Energie Cottbus U19

Hallescher FC U19

FT

1 – 2

HT: 0 – 2

Energie Cottbus U19

J. Dolla 57'

J. Zaydan 34'

A. Reschke 28' (pen)

2/22/2025

U19 Bundesliga · 2nd Phase Group B - 4NLZ HFC Platz 1

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 37+ matches

Hallescher FC U1946%

×Draw21%

Energie Cottbus U1933%

✓ Correct in 51 of 100 matches — 6 more than always backing the home side

Model

50.6%

Always home

44.7%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.6% correct across 576,853 matches, vs 44.7% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.9% correct · Away picks 49.7% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Hallescher FC U19Expected goals in this matchEnergie Cottbus U19

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

2.04

1.72

Hallescher FC U19

2.04

Energie Cottbus U19

1.72

Hallescher FC U19 creates 19% more chances

Season form · 37 home / 57 away

1.89

creates per match

1.44

2.00

allows per match

2.19

creates per match

Hallescher FC U19

1.89

Energie Cottbus U19

1.44

allows per match

Hallescher FC U19

2.00

Energie Cottbus U19

2.19

+0.00on par

finishing

+0.00on par

finishing

Hallescher FC U19+0.00on par

Energie Cottbus U19+0.00on par

Total goals

Over72
Under28

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

Yes71
No29

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Hallescher FC U19 ↓

Energie Cottbus U19 →

0

1

2

3

4

0

0–02%

0–14%

0–23%

0–32%

0–41%

1

1–05%

1–18%

1–27%

1–34%

1–42%

2

2–05%

2–18%

2–27%

2–34%

2–42%

3

3–03%

3–16%

3–25%

3–33%

3–41%

4

4–02%

4–13%

4–23%

4–31%

4–41%

Most likely 1–1 (8%) · grid covers 92% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5

98%2%1.5

89%11%2.5

72%28%3.5

51%49%4.5

32%68%

Double chance

Hallescher FC U19 or draw

67%

Hallescher FC U19 or Energie Cottbus U19

79%

Draw or Energie Cottbus U19

54%

Winning margin

Hallescher FC U19 wins by 2+

26%

Energie Cottbus U19 wins by 2+

16%

Team goals

Hallescher FC U19 1+ goals

87%

Hallescher FC U19 2+ goals

60%

Hallescher FC U19 3+ goals

33%

Energie Cottbus U19 1+ goals

82%

Energie Cottbus U19 2+ goals

51%

Energie Cottbus U19 3+ goals

25%

Draw no bet

Hallescher FC U19 (draw refunded)

58%

Energie Cottbus U19 (draw refunded)

42%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals

63%

Both score & under 3

8%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Hallescher FC U19 at home — creates 1.89, concedes 2.00 · 37 matches

Energie Cottbus U19 away — creates 1.44, concedes 2.19 · 57 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Hallescher FC U19 attack 1.89 + Energie Cottbus U19 defence 2.19 → ÷2 → 2.04

Energie Cottbus U19 attack 1.44 + Hallescher FC U19 defence 2.00 → ÷2 → 1.72

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 46%?"

Hallescher FC U19 scores more

46%

level

21%

Energie Cottbus U19 scores more

33%

Hallescher FC U19 at 46% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

injuries & suspensions
the matchday lineup
motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
weather & pitch condition
in-game coaching decisions

So 46% does not mean "Hallescher FC U19 will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Match Events

23'

M. Preuß← B. Dreßler

28'

A. ReschkePenalty

34'

J. Zaydan

46'

B. Serifoski← Mohamed Samadi

46'

N. Langer← J. Wagner

57'

J. Dolla

77'

M. Glück← L. Hein

78'

M. Jurisch← M. Schößler

83'

S. Knecht← F. Schubart

85'

O. Pörschmann← J. Dolla

85'

T. Miller← R. Trinko

Hallescher

Energie

▼

⚽

▼

⚽

▼

▼

⚽

▼

▼

▼

▼

Manager: T. Donath

46'▲B. Serifoski←▼Mohamed Samadi

46'▲N. Langer←▼J. Wagner

77'▲M. Glück←▼L. Hein

85'▲O. Pörschmann←▼J. Dolla

85'▲T. Miller←▼R. Trinko

Hallescher FC U19 substitutes

SerifoskiLangerGlückPörschmannMillerSchneider

Manager: K. Alain

23'▲M. Preuß←▼B. Dreßler

78'▲M. Jurisch←▼M. Schößler

83'▲S. Knecht←▼F. Schubart

Energie Cottbus U19 substitutes

PreußJurischKnechtWilke

U19 Bundesliga: Hallescher FC U19 1–2 Energie Cottbus U19

Energie Cottbus U19 beat Hallescher FC U19 2-1 in U19 Bundesliga on February 22, 2025.

Goals: A. Reschke (28' pen), J. Zaydan (34'), J. Dolla (57').

The match was played at NLZ HFC Platz 1 in Saale.

Hallescher FC U19 vs Energie Cottbus U19 — U19 Bundesliga 2019

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Total goals

Both teams score

Match Events

Head to Head

U19 Bundesliga: Hallescher FC U19 1–2 Energie Cottbus U19