Scoreo
FootballHockeyTennisBasketballVolleyballHandballBaseballRugbyMMAFormula 1

Haladás VSE vs Dorogi FC — NB III - Northwest 2019

Haladás VSE
Haladás VSE
FT
1 – 0
HT: 0 – 0
Dorogi FC
Dorogi FC
3/1/2026NB III - NorthwestNB III - Northwest · Northwest - 18Haladás Stadion

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 45+ matches

Haladás VSE36%
×Draw24%
Dorogi FC40%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50.3%
Always home
44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.3% correct across 582,450 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.5% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Haladás VSE
1.48
Dorogi FC
1.57

Both teams create about equally

Season form · 45 home / 45 away

creates per match

Haladás VSE
1.38
Dorogi FC
1.38

allows per match

Haladás VSE
1.76
Dorogi FC
1.58

finishing

Haladás VSE+0.00on par
Dorogi FC+0.00on par

Total goals

59%Over
  • Over59
  • Under41

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

61%Yes
  • Yes61
  • No39

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Haladás VSE ↓

Dorogi FC →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–05%
0–17%
0–26%
0–33%
0–41%
1
1–07%
1–111%
1–29%
1–35%
1–42%
2
2–05%
2–18%
2–26%
2–33%
2–41%
3
3–03%
3–14%
3–23%
3–32%
3–41%
4
4–01%
4–11%
4–21%
4–31%
4–40%

Most likely 1–1 (11%) · grid covers 96% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
95%5%1.5
81%19%2.5
59%41%3.5
36%64%4.5
19%81%

Double chance

Haladás VSE or draw
60%
Haladás VSE or Dorogi FC
76%
Draw or Dorogi FC
64%

Winning margin

Haladás VSE wins by 2+
17%
Dorogi FC wins by 2+
20%

Team goals

Haladás VSE 1+ goals
77%
Haladás VSE 2+ goals
43%
Haladás VSE 3+ goals
19%
Dorogi FC 1+ goals
79%
Dorogi FC 2+ goals
46%
Dorogi FC 3+ goals
21%

Draw no bet

Haladás VSE (draw refunded)
47%
Dorogi FC (draw refunded)
53%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
50%
Both score & under 3
11%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Haladás VSE at home — creates 1.38, concedes 1.76 · 45 matches

Dorogi FC away — creates 1.38, concedes 1.58 · 45 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Haladás VSE attack 1.38 + Dorogi FC defence 1.58 → ÷2 → 1.48

Dorogi FC attack 1.38 + Haladás VSE defence 1.76 → ÷2 → 1.57

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 40%?"

Haladás VSE scores more
36%
level
24%
Dorogi FC scores more
40%

Dorogi FC at 40% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 40% does not mean "Dorogi FC will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

NB III - Northwest: Haladás VSE 1–0 Dorogi FC

Haladás VSE beat Dorogi FC 1-0 in NB III - Northwest on March 1, 2026.

The match was played at Haladás Stadion in Szombathely.