Scoreo

Hajduk Divoš vs Radnički ZrenjaninSrpska Liga - Vojvodina 2019

3/30/2025Srpska Liga - VojvodinaSrpska Liga - Vojvodina · Vojvodina - 19Stadion FK Hajduk Divoš

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 30+ matches

Hajduk Divoš56%
×Draw23%
Radnički Zrenjanin21%
Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 6 more than always backing the home side
Model
49.7%
Always home
44.3%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 49.7% correct across 106,786 matches, vs 44.3% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.7% correct · Away picks 47.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Hajduk Divoš
1.77
Radnički Zrenjanin
0.99

Hajduk Divoš creates 79% more chances

Season form · 30 home / 87 away

creates per match

Hajduk Divoš
1.77
Radnički Zrenjanin
1.08

allows per match

Hajduk Divoš
0.90
Radnički Zrenjanin
1.78

finishing

Hajduk Divoš+0.00on par
Radnički Zrenjanin+0.00on par

Total goals

52%Over
  • Over52
  • Under48

Close call

Both teams score

52%Yes
  • Yes52
  • No48

Close call

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Hajduk Divoš

Radnički Zrenjanin
0
1
2
3
4
0
006%
016%
023%
031%
040%
1
1011%
1111%
126%
132%
140%
2
2010%
2110%
225%
232%
240%
3
306%
316%
323%
331%
340%
4
403%
413%
421%
430%
440%

Most likely 1–0 (11%) · grid covers 96% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
94%6%1.5
76%24%2.5
52%48%3.5
30%70%4.5
14%86%

Double chance

Hajduk Divoš or draw
79%
Hajduk Divoš or Radnički Zrenjanin
77%
Draw or Radnički Zrenjanin
44%

Winning margin

Hajduk Divoš wins by 2+
31%
Radnički Zrenjanin wins by 2+
7%

Team goals

Hajduk Divoš 1+ goals
83%
Hajduk Divoš 2+ goals
53%
Hajduk Divoš 3+ goals
26%
Radnički Zrenjanin 1+ goals
63%
Radnički Zrenjanin 2+ goals
26%
Radnički Zrenjanin 3+ goals
8%

Draw no bet

Hajduk Divoš (draw refunded)
73%
Radnički Zrenjanin (draw refunded)
27%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
41%
Both score & under 3
11%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Hajduk Divoš at homecreates 1.77, concedes 0.90 · 30 matches

Radnički Zrenjanin awaycreates 1.08, concedes 1.78 · 87 matches

Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Hajduk Divoš attack 1.77 + Radnički Zrenjanin defence 1.78 → ÷2 → 1.77

Radnički Zrenjanin attack 1.08 + Hajduk Divoš defence 0.90 → ÷2 → 0.99

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 56%?"

Hajduk Divoš scores more
56%
level
23%
Radnički Zrenjanin scores more
21%

Hajduk Divoš at 56% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 56% does not mean "Hajduk Divoš will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Srpska Liga - Vojvodina: Hajduk Divoš 1–0 Radnički Zrenjanin

Hajduk Divoš beat Radnički Zrenjanin 1-0 in Srpska Liga - Vojvodina on March 30, 2025.

The match was played at Stadion FK Hajduk Divoš in Divoš.