Hajduk Divoš 2–0 Borac Šajkaš: Result & Stats

Hajduk Divoš

FT

2 – 0

HT: 1 – 0

Borac Šajkaš

5/4/2025

Srpska Liga - Vojvodina · Vojvodina - 25Stadion FK Hajduk Divoš

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 30+ matches

Hajduk Divoš55%

×Draw24%

Borac Šajkaš21%

✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 6 more than always backing the home side

Model

49.7%

Always home

44.3%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 49.7% correct across 106,786 matches, vs 44.3% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.7% correct · Away picks 47.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Hajduk DivošExpected goals in this matchBorac Šajkaš

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

1.67

0.92

Hajduk Divoš

1.67

Borac Šajkaš

0.92

Hajduk Divoš creates 82% more chances

Season form · 30 home / 60 away

1.77

creates per match

0.93

0.90

allows per match

1.57

creates per match

Hajduk Divoš

1.77

Borac Šajkaš

0.93

allows per match

Hajduk Divoš

0.90

Borac Šajkaš

1.57

+0.00on par

finishing

+0.00on par

finishing

Hajduk Divoš+0.00on par

Borac Šajkaš+0.00on par

Total goals

Under52
Over48

Close call

Both teams score

No51
Yes49

Close call

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Hajduk Divoš ↓

Borac Šajkaš →

0

1

2

3

4

0

0–08%

0–17%

0–23%

0–31%

0–40%

1

1–013%

1–112%

1–25%

1–32%

1–40%

2

2–010%

2–110%

2–24%

2–31%

2–40%

3

3–06%

3–15%

3–22%

3–31%

3–40%

4

4–02%

4–12%

4–21%

4–30%

4–40%

Most likely 1–0 (13%) · grid covers 97% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5

92%8%1.5

73%27%2.5

48%52%3.5

26%74%4.5

12%88%

Double chance

Hajduk Divoš or draw

79%

Hajduk Divoš or Borac Šajkaš

76%

Draw or Borac Šajkaš

45%

Winning margin

Hajduk Divoš wins by 2+

30%

Borac Šajkaš wins by 2+

7%

Team goals

Hajduk Divoš 1+ goals

81%

Hajduk Divoš 2+ goals

50%

Hajduk Divoš 3+ goals

23%

Borac Šajkaš 1+ goals

60%

Borac Šajkaš 2+ goals

23%

Borac Šajkaš 3+ goals

7%

Draw no bet

Hajduk Divoš (draw refunded)

73%

Borac Šajkaš (draw refunded)

27%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals

37%

Both score & under 3

12%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Hajduk Divoš at home — creates 1.77, concedes 0.90 · 30 matches

Borac Šajkaš away — creates 0.93, concedes 1.57 · 60 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Hajduk Divoš attack 1.77 + Borac Šajkaš defence 1.57 → ÷2 → 1.67

Borac Šajkaš attack 0.93 + Hajduk Divoš defence 0.90 → ÷2 → 0.92

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 55%?"

Hajduk Divoš scores more

55%

level

24%

Borac Šajkaš scores more

21%

Hajduk Divoš at 55% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

injuries & suspensions
the matchday lineup
motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
weather & pitch condition
in-game coaching decisions

So 55% does not mean "Hajduk Divoš will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff