Scoreo
FootballHockeyTennisBasketballVolleyballHandballBaseballRugbyMMAFormula 1

Borac Šajkaš vs Hajduk Divoš — Srpska Liga - Vojvodina 2019

Borac Šajkaš
Borac Šajkaš
FT
2 – 0
HT: 0 – 0
Hajduk Divoš
Hajduk Divoš
10/20/2024Srpska Liga - VojvodinaSrpska Liga - Vojvodina · Vojvodina - 10Stadion Borac Šajkaš

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 30+ matches

Borac Šajkaš38%
×Draw28%
Hajduk Divoš34%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 6 more than always backing the home side
Model
49.7%
Always home
44.3%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 49.7% correct across 106,786 matches, vs 44.3% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.7% correct · Away picks 47.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Borac Šajkaš
1.19
Hajduk Divoš
1.10

Both teams create about equally

Season form · 59 home / 30 away

creates per match

Borac Šajkaš
1.51
Hajduk Divoš
1.13

allows per match

Borac Šajkaš
1.08
Hajduk Divoš
0.87

finishing

Borac Šajkaš+0.00on par
Hajduk Divoš+0.00on par

Total goals

60%Under
  • Under60
  • Over40

Fewer than 3 goals likely

Both teams score

54%No
  • No54
  • Yes46

One side may not score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Borac Šajkaš ↓

Hajduk Divoš →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–010%
0–111%
0–26%
0–32%
0–41%
1
1–012%
1–113%
1–27%
1–33%
1–41%
2
2–07%
2–18%
2–24%
2–32%
2–40%
3
3–03%
3–13%
3–22%
3–31%
3–40%
4
4–01%
4–11%
4–21%
4–30%
4–40%

Most likely 1–1 (13%) · grid covers 99% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
90%10%1.5
67%33%2.5
40%60%3.5
20%80%4.5
8%92%

Double chance

Borac Šajkaš or draw
66%
Borac Šajkaš or Hajduk Divoš
72%
Draw or Hajduk Divoš
62%

Winning margin

Borac Šajkaš wins by 2+
16%
Hajduk Divoš wins by 2+
13%

Team goals

Borac Šajkaš 1+ goals
70%
Borac Šajkaš 2+ goals
33%
Borac Šajkaš 3+ goals
12%
Hajduk Divoš 1+ goals
67%
Hajduk Divoš 2+ goals
30%
Hajduk Divoš 3+ goals
10%

Draw no bet

Borac Šajkaš (draw refunded)
53%
Hajduk Divoš (draw refunded)
47%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
33%
Both score & under 3
13%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Borac Šajkaš at home — creates 1.51, concedes 1.08 · 59 matches

Hajduk Divoš away — creates 1.13, concedes 0.87 · 30 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Borac Šajkaš attack 1.51 + Hajduk Divoš defence 0.87 → ÷2 → 1.19

Hajduk Divoš attack 1.13 + Borac Šajkaš defence 1.08 → ÷2 → 1.10

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 38%?"

Borac Šajkaš scores more
38%
level
28%
Hajduk Divoš scores more
34%

Borac Šajkaš at 38% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 38% does not mean "Borac Šajkaš will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Match Recap: Borac Šajkaš vs Hajduk Divoš

Borac Šajkaš beat Hajduk Divoš 2-0 in Srpska Liga - Vojvodina on October 20, 2024.

The match was played at Stadion Borac Šajkaš in Šajkaš.