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Hajduk 1912 Kula vs Sloven Ruma — Srpska Liga - Vojvodina 2019

Hajduk 1912 Kula
Hajduk 1912 Kula
FT
0 – 0
Sloven Ruma
Sloven Ruma
3/16/2024Srpska Liga - VojvodinaSrpska Liga - Vojvodina · Vojvodina - 18Stadion Milan Sredanović

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 30+ matches

Hajduk 1912 Kula38%
×Draw25%
Sloven Ruma37%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 6 more than always backing the home side
Model
49.7%
Always home
44.3%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 49.7% correct across 106,786 matches, vs 44.3% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.7% correct · Away picks 47.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Hajduk 1912 Kula
1.46
Sloven Ruma
1.43

Both teams create about equally

Season form · 72 home / 30 away

creates per match

Hajduk 1912 Kula
1.61
Sloven Ruma
1.57

allows per match

Hajduk 1912 Kula
1.28
Sloven Ruma
1.30

finishing

Hajduk 1912 Kula+0.00on par
Sloven Ruma+0.00on par

Total goals

55%Over
  • Over55
  • Under45

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

58%Yes
  • Yes58
  • No42

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Hajduk 1912 Kula ↓

Sloven Ruma →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–06%
0–18%
0–26%
0–33%
0–41%
1
1–08%
1–112%
1–28%
1–34%
1–41%
2
2–06%
2–18%
2–26%
2–33%
2–41%
3
3–03%
3–14%
3–23%
3–31%
3–41%
4
4–01%
4–12%
4–21%
4–31%
4–40%

Most likely 1–1 (12%) · grid covers 97% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
94%6%1.5
78%22%2.5
55%45%3.5
33%67%4.5
17%83%

Double chance

Hajduk 1912 Kula or draw
63%
Hajduk 1912 Kula or Sloven Ruma
75%
Draw or Sloven Ruma
62%

Winning margin

Hajduk 1912 Kula wins by 2+
18%
Sloven Ruma wins by 2+
17%

Team goals

Hajduk 1912 Kula 1+ goals
77%
Hajduk 1912 Kula 2+ goals
43%
Hajduk 1912 Kula 3+ goals
18%
Sloven Ruma 1+ goals
76%
Sloven Ruma 2+ goals
42%
Sloven Ruma 3+ goals
17%

Draw no bet

Hajduk 1912 Kula (draw refunded)
51%
Sloven Ruma (draw refunded)
49%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
47%
Both score & under 3
12%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Hajduk 1912 Kula at home — creates 1.61, concedes 1.28 · 72 matches

Sloven Ruma away — creates 1.57, concedes 1.30 · 30 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Hajduk 1912 Kula attack 1.61 + Sloven Ruma defence 1.30 → ÷2 → 1.46

Sloven Ruma attack 1.57 + Hajduk 1912 Kula defence 1.28 → ÷2 → 1.43

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 38%?"

Hajduk 1912 Kula scores more
38%
level
25%
Sloven Ruma scores more
37%

Hajduk 1912 Kula at 38% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 38% does not mean "Hajduk 1912 Kula will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Srpska Liga - Vojvodina: Hajduk 1912 Kula 0–0 Sloven Ruma

Hajduk 1912 Kula and Sloven Ruma drew 0-0 in Srpska Liga - Vojvodina on March 16, 2024.

The match was played at Stadion Milan Sredanović in Kula.