Scoreo
FootballHockeyTennisBasketballVolleyballHandballBaseballRugbyMMAFormula 1

Guadalupe FC vs Futbol Consultants Moravia — Liga de Ascenso 2018

Guadalupe FC
Guadalupe FC
FT
0 – 4
HT: 0 – 2
Futbol Consultants Moravia
Futbol Consultants Moravia
1/19/2025Liga de AscensoLiga de Ascenso · Clausura - 1Estadio CDI José Joaquín Colleya Fonseca

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 39+ matches

Guadalupe FC50%
×Draw24%
Futbol Consultants Moravia26%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50.3%
Always home
44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.3% correct across 582,450 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.5% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Guadalupe FC
1.69
Futbol Consultants Moravia
1.14

Guadalupe FC creates 48% more chances

Season form · 39 home / 124 away

creates per match

Guadalupe FC
1.74
Futbol Consultants Moravia
1.18

allows per match

Guadalupe FC
1.10
Futbol Consultants Moravia
1.65

finishing

Guadalupe FC+0.00on par
Futbol Consultants Moravia+0.00on par

Total goals

54%Over
  • Over54
  • Under46

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

55%Yes
  • Yes55
  • No45

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Guadalupe FC ↓

Futbol Consultants Moravia →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–06%
0–17%
0–24%
0–31%
0–40%
1
1–010%
1–111%
1–26%
1–32%
1–41%
2
2–08%
2–110%
2–25%
2–32%
2–41%
3
3–05%
3–15%
3–23%
3–31%
3–40%
4
4–02%
4–12%
4–21%
4–30%
4–40%

Most likely 1–1 (11%) · grid covers 97% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
94%6%1.5
77%23%2.5
54%46%3.5
31%69%4.5
16%84%

Double chance

Guadalupe FC or draw
74%
Guadalupe FC or Futbol Consultants Moravia
76%
Draw or Futbol Consultants Moravia
50%

Winning margin

Guadalupe FC wins by 2+
27%
Futbol Consultants Moravia wins by 2+
10%

Team goals

Guadalupe FC 1+ goals
82%
Guadalupe FC 2+ goals
50%
Guadalupe FC 3+ goals
24%
Futbol Consultants Moravia 1+ goals
68%
Futbol Consultants Moravia 2+ goals
32%
Futbol Consultants Moravia 3+ goals
11%

Draw no bet

Guadalupe FC (draw refunded)
66%
Futbol Consultants Moravia (draw refunded)
34%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
44%
Both score & under 3
11%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Guadalupe FC at home — creates 1.74, concedes 1.10 · 39 matches

Futbol Consultants Moravia away — creates 1.18, concedes 1.65 · 124 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Guadalupe FC attack 1.74 + Futbol Consultants Moravia defence 1.65 → ÷2 → 1.69

Futbol Consultants Moravia attack 1.18 + Guadalupe FC defence 1.10 → ÷2 → 1.14

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 50%?"

Guadalupe FC scores more
50%
level
24%
Futbol Consultants Moravia scores more
26%

Guadalupe FC at 50% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 50% does not mean "Guadalupe FC will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Guadalupe FC 0 – 4 Futbol Consultants Moravia

Futbol Consultants Moravia beat Guadalupe FC 4-0 in Liga de Ascenso on January 19, 2025.

The match was played at Estadio CDI José Joaquín Colleya Fonseca in San José.