Grasshoppers 5–0 Yverdon Sport: Result & Stats

Grasshoppers

FT

5 – 0

HT: 3 – 0

Yverdon Sport

N. Irankunda 82'

L. Kabashi 79'

D. Abels 45+2'

S. Kittel 40', 7'

5/14/2025

Super League · Relegation Round - 3Stadion Letzigrund

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 38+ matches

Grasshoppers54%

×Draw22%

Yverdon Sport24%

✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 6 more than always backing the home side

Model

49.7%

Always home

44.3%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 49.7% correct across 106,786 matches, vs 44.3% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.7% correct · Away picks 47.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

GrasshoppersExpected goals in this matchYverdon Sport

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

1.90

1.19

Grasshoppers

1.90

Yverdon Sport

1.19

Grasshoppers creates 60% more chances

Season form · 113 home / 38 away

1.51

creates per match

0.82

1.56

allows per match

2.29

creates per match

Grasshoppers

1.51

Yverdon Sport

0.82

allows per match

Grasshoppers

1.56

Yverdon Sport

2.29

+0.00on par

finishing

+0.00on par

finishing

Grasshoppers+0.00on par

Yverdon Sport+0.00on par

Total goals

Over60
Under40

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

Yes59
No41

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Grasshoppers ↓

Yverdon Sport →

0

1

2

3

4

0

0–05%

0–15%

0–23%

0–31%

0–40%

1

1–09%

1–110%

1–26%

1–32%

1–41%

2

2–08%

2–110%

2–26%

2–32%

2–41%

3

3–05%

3–16%

3–24%

3–31%

3–40%

4

4–02%

4–13%

4–22%

4–31%

4–40%

Most likely 1–1 (10%) · grid covers 95% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5

95%5%1.5

81%19%2.5

60%40%3.5

37%63%4.5

20%80%

Double chance

Grasshoppers or draw

76%

Grasshoppers or Yverdon Sport

78%

Draw or Yverdon Sport

46%

Winning margin

Grasshoppers wins by 2+

31%

Yverdon Sport wins by 2+

9%

Team goals

Grasshoppers 1+ goals

85%

Grasshoppers 2+ goals

56%

Grasshoppers 3+ goals

29%

Yverdon Sport 1+ goals

70%

Yverdon Sport 2+ goals

33%

Yverdon Sport 3+ goals

12%

Draw no bet

Grasshoppers (draw refunded)

69%

Yverdon Sport (draw refunded)

31%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals

49%

Both score & under 3

10%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Grasshoppers at home — creates 1.51, concedes 1.56 · 113 matches

Yverdon Sport away — creates 0.82, concedes 2.29 · 38 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Grasshoppers attack 1.51 + Yverdon Sport defence 2.29 → ÷2 → 1.90

Yverdon Sport attack 0.82 + Grasshoppers defence 1.56 → ÷2 → 1.19

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 54%?"

Grasshoppers scores more

54%

level

22%

Yverdon Sport scores more

24%

Grasshoppers at 54% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

injuries & suspensions
the matchday lineup
motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
weather & pitch condition
in-game coaching decisions

So 54% does not mean "Grasshoppers will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Player of the match

8

S. Kittel

Grasshoppers · M

8.9

Match Events

2'

5'

5'

7'

12'

40'

S. Kittel↳ B. Schmitz

43'

Paul Bernardoni

45+2'

D. Abels↳ A. Abrashi

46'

W. Le Pogam← V. Kongsro

46'

Mauro Rodrigues← A. Marchesano

46'

H. Komano← M. Baradji

46'

Gonçalo Esteves← M. Aké

54'

Hassane Imourane

59'

N. Irankunda← A. Bojang

59'

M. Paskotši← I. Hassane

67'

L. Kabashi← A. Abrashi

67'

M. Choinière← S. Kittel

69'

Nikolas Muci

78'

J. Gnakpa← M. Łęgowski

79'

L. Kabashi↳ N. Muci

81'

Lee Young-Jun← N. Muci

82'

N. Irankunda↳ Lee Young-Jun

Possession

Shots

Pass accuracy

Statistics

GrasshoppersYverdon

Overview

55%Possession45%

14Total Shots3

4Corners0

18Fouls8

Shots

14Total Shots3

5On Target1

9Off Target2

0Blocked0

11Inside Box0

3Outside Box3

Passing

55%Possession45%

460Total Passes376

379Accurate Passes287

82%Pass Accuracy76%

Goalkeeping

1Saves0

Discipline

18Fouls8

3Yellow Cards3

0Red Cards1

1Offsides1