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Grasshoppers vs FC Sion — Super League 2025

Grasshoppers
Grasshoppers
Preview
14:30
FC Sion
FC Sion
8/23/2026Super LeagueSuper League · Round 4Letzigrund Stadion
Big match
54%
FC Sion
model favours
23%23%54%

FC Sion are unbeaten in 9 straight

brightest fact of this match

1–1
likely score
54%
over 2.5 goals
54%
both teams score

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on xG from last 6+ matches

Grasshoppers23%
×Draw23%
FC Sion54%
✓ Correct in 49 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
48.6%
Always home
43.8%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 48.6% correct across 15,072 matches, vs 43.8% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.1% correct · Away picks 45.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Grasshoppers
1.07
FC Sion
1.77

FC Sion creates 65% more chances

Season form · 11 home / 6 away

creates per match

Grasshoppers
1.27
FC Sion
1.82

allows per match

Grasshoppers
1.72
FC Sion
0.87

finishing

Grasshoppers+0.55scores more
FC Sion+0.01on par

Total goals

54%Over
  • Over54
  • Under46

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

54%Yes
  • Yes54
  • No46

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Grasshoppers ↓

FC Sion →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–06%
0–110%
0–29%
0–35%
0–42%
1
1–06%
1–111%
1–210%
1–36%
1–43%
2
2–03%
2–16%
2–25%
2–33%
2–41%
3
3–01%
3–12%
3–22%
3–31%
3–40%
4
4–00%
4–11%
4–21%
4–30%
4–40%

Most likely 1–1 (11%) · grid covers 96% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
94%6%1.5
78%22%2.5
54%46%3.5
32%68%4.5
16%84%

Double chance

Grasshoppers or draw
46%
Grasshoppers or FC Sion
77%
Draw or FC Sion
77%

Winning margin

Grasshoppers wins by 2+
8%
FC Sion wins by 2+
30%

Team goals

Grasshoppers 1+ goals
66%
Grasshoppers 2+ goals
29%
Grasshoppers 3+ goals
9%
FC Sion 1+ goals
83%
FC Sion 2+ goals
53%
FC Sion 3+ goals
26%

Draw no bet

Grasshoppers (draw refunded)
30%
FC Sion (draw refunded)
70%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
43%
Both score & under 3
11%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Grasshoppers at home — creates 1.27, concedes 1.72 · 11 matches

FC Sion away — creates 1.82, concedes 0.87 · 6 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Grasshoppers attack 1.27 + FC Sion defence 0.87 → ÷2 → 1.07

FC Sion attack 1.82 + Grasshoppers defence 1.72 → ÷2 → 1.77

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 54%?"

Grasshoppers scores more
23%
level
23%
FC Sion scores more
54%

FC Sion at 54% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 54% does not mean "FC Sion will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Match Insights

  • Grasshoppers score first in only 17% of matches
  • FC Sion have won 3 in a row
  • FC Sion have won 4 of the last 5 meetings
  • 67% of FC Sion’s matches go over 2.5 goals
  • Style contrast — Grasshoppers play Direct / counter-attacking, FC Sion Defensively solid

Based on historical data — not a prediction.

Style Matchup

Contrasting styles
Grasshoppers
Direct / counter-attacking
FC Sion
Defensively solid
44%Possession49%
70%Pass accuracy80%
12.1Shots13.0
1.19xGBiggest gap1.93
Pass acc.ShotsxGBox shareShot acc.Defense
GrasshoppersFC Sion

Head-to-head

5 previous meetings

0
Grasshoppers
1
Draws
4
FC Sion
Avg goals: 3BTTS: 40%
0–43–30–10–11–2

Playing styles from match stats. Historical H2H record. Not a prediction.

Form
Grasshoppers
LLWWD
Sion
WWWDD

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Grasshoppers vs FC Sion — Match Preview

Grasshoppers face FC Sion on August 23, 2026 in this Super League fixture. Get live scores, lineups, and real-time match statistics here when the game starts.

Grasshoppers host FC Sion at Letzigrund Stadion.

Submit your prediction below — exact score, 1X2, total goals, and both teams to score. Earn XP for correct picks.