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FC Sion vs Grasshoppers — Super League 2025

FC Sion
FC Sion
FT
1 – 0
HT: 1 – 0
Grasshoppers
Grasshoppers
B. Kololli 43' (pen)
12/13/2025Super LeagueSuper League · Round 17Stade de Tourbillon

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 22+ matches

FC Sion56%
×Draw23%
Grasshoppers21%
✓ Correct in 49 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
48.6%
Always home
43.8%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 48.6% correct across 15,072 matches, vs 43.8% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.1% correct · Away picks 45.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

FC Sion
1.77
Grasshoppers
0.98

FC Sion creates 81% more chances

Season form · 22 home / 23 away

creates per match

FC Sion
1.59
Grasshoppers
1.09

allows per match

FC Sion
0.86
Grasshoppers
1.96

finishing

FC Sion+0.00on par
Grasshoppers+0.00on par

Total goals

52%Over
  • Over52
  • Under48

Close call

Both teams score

52%Yes
  • Yes52
  • No48

Close call

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

FC Sion ↓

Grasshoppers →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–06%
0–16%
0–23%
0–31%
0–40%
1
1–011%
1–111%
1–25%
1–32%
1–40%
2
2–010%
2–110%
2–25%
2–32%
2–40%
3
3–06%
3–16%
3–23%
3–31%
3–40%
4
4–03%
4–13%
4–21%
4–30%
4–40%

Most likely 1–0 (11%) · grid covers 96% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
94%6%1.5
76%24%2.5
52%48%3.5
30%70%4.5
14%86%

Double chance

FC Sion or draw
79%
FC Sion or Grasshoppers
77%
Draw or Grasshoppers
44%

Winning margin

FC Sion wins by 2+
31%
Grasshoppers wins by 2+
7%

Team goals

FC Sion 1+ goals
83%
FC Sion 2+ goals
53%
FC Sion 3+ goals
26%
Grasshoppers 1+ goals
62%
Grasshoppers 2+ goals
26%
Grasshoppers 3+ goals
8%

Draw no bet

FC Sion (draw refunded)
73%
Grasshoppers (draw refunded)
27%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
41%
Both score & under 3
11%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

FC Sion at home — creates 1.59, concedes 0.86 · 22 matches

Grasshoppers away — creates 1.09, concedes 1.96 · 23 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

FC Sion attack 1.59 + Grasshoppers defence 1.96 → ÷2 → 1.77

Grasshoppers attack 1.09 + FC Sion defence 0.86 → ÷2 → 0.98

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 56%?"

FC Sion scores more
56%
level
23%
Grasshoppers scores more
21%

FC Sion at 56% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 56% does not mean "FC Sion will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Player of the match

1
A. RacioppiFC SionFC Sion · G
10.0

Match Events

24'
Tim Meyer
27'
Kreshnik Hajrizi
43'
B. KololliPenalty
54'
Dirk Abels
61'
L. Chipperfield← D. Rrudhani
61'
T. Berdayes← R. Nivokazi
66'
N. Sow← Baltazar
73'
Dirk AbelsPenalty confirmed
74'
Benjamin Kololli
81'
T. Bouchlarhem← B. Kololli
81'
W. Boteli← Y. Chouaref
81'
P. Creti← S. Krasniqi
82'
L. Giandomenico← M. Ullmann
86'
S. Diarrassouba← O. Clemente
90'
N. Muci← L. Plange

Possession

48%FC

Shots

14FC

Pass accuracy

51%FC

Statistics

FCGrasshoppers
Overview
48%Possession52%
14Total Shots18
6Corners5
11Fouls23
Shots
14Total Shots18
5On Target7
6Off Target9
3Blocked2
9Inside Box12
5Outside Box6
Passing
48%Possession52%
363Total Passes381
279Accurate Passes277
77%Pass Accuracy73%
Goalkeeping
7Saves3
Discipline
11Fouls23
2Yellow Cards2
1Offsides0

Match Recap: FC Sion vs Grasshoppers

FC Sion beat Grasshoppers 1-0 in Super League on December 13, 2025.

Goals: B. Kololli (43' pen).

Grasshoppers controlled possession (52%) and registered 18 shots to 14.

The match was played at Stade de Tourbillon in Sion.