Scoreo

Grasshoppers vs FC SionSuper League 2025

Grasshoppers
Grasshoppers
FT
04
HT: 01
FC Sion
FC Sion
W. Boteli 90'
A. Kabacalman 75' (pen)
4/6/2026Super LeagueSuper League · Round 32Letzigrund Stadion

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 20+ matches

Grasshoppers34%
×Draw23%
FC Sion43%
Correct in 49 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
48.6%
Always home
43.8%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 48.6% correct across 15,072 matches, vs 43.8% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.1% correct · Away picks 45.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Grasshoppers
1.58
FC Sion
1.78

FC Sion creates 13% more chances

Season form · 21 home / 20 away

creates per match

Grasshoppers
1.62
FC Sion
1.75

allows per match

Grasshoppers
1.81
FC Sion
1.55

finishing

Grasshoppers+0.00on par
FC Sion+0.00on par

Total goals

65%Over
  • Over65
  • Under35

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

66%Yes
  • Yes66
  • No34

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Grasshoppers

FC Sion
0
1
2
3
4
0
003%
016%
026%
033%
041%
1
106%
1110%
129%
135%
142%
2
204%
218%
227%
234%
242%
3
302%
314%
324%
332%
341%
4
401%
412%
421%
431%
440%

Most likely 1–1 (10%) · grid covers 95% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
97%3%1.5
85%15%2.5
65%35%3.5
43%57%4.5
25%75%

Double chance

Grasshoppers or draw
57%
Grasshoppers or FC Sion
77%
Draw or FC Sion
66%

Winning margin

Grasshoppers wins by 2+
17%
FC Sion wins by 2+
23%

Team goals

Grasshoppers 1+ goals
79%
Grasshoppers 2+ goals
47%
Grasshoppers 3+ goals
21%
FC Sion 1+ goals
83%
FC Sion 2+ goals
53%
FC Sion 3+ goals
26%

Draw no bet

Grasshoppers (draw refunded)
45%
FC Sion (draw refunded)
55%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
56%
Both score & under 3
10%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Grasshoppers at homecreates 1.62, concedes 1.81 · 21 matches

FC Sion awaycreates 1.75, concedes 1.55 · 20 matches

Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Grasshoppers attack 1.62 + FC Sion defence 1.55 → ÷2 → 1.58

FC Sion attack 1.75 + Grasshoppers defence 1.81 → ÷2 → 1.78

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 43%?"

Grasshoppers scores more
34%
level
23%
FC Sion scores more
43%

FC Sion at 43% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 43% does not mean "FC Sion will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Player of the match

28
K. HajriziFC SionFC Sion · D
8.2

Possession

43%Grasshoppers

Shots

9Grasshoppers

Pass accuracy

48%Grasshoppers

Statistics

GrasshoppersFC
Overview
43%Possession57%
9Total Shots14
0.33Expected Goals (xG)2.41
1Corners3
11Fouls14
Shots
9Total Shots14
2On Target5
5Off Target6
2Blocked3
5Inside Box11
4Outside Box3
Passing
43%Possession57%
356Total Passes488
297Accurate Passes434
83%Pass Accuracy89%
Goalkeeping
1Saves2
0.10Goals Prevented0.10
Discipline
11Fouls14
2Yellow Cards2

Super League: Grasshoppers 0–4 FC Sion

FC Sion beat Grasshoppers 4-0 in Super League on April 6, 2026.

Goals: R. Nivokazi (3'), L. Chipperfield (66'), A. Kabacalman (75' pen), W. Boteli (90').

FC Sion controlled possession (57%) and registered 14 shots to 9.

The match was played at Letzigrund Stadion in Zurich.