Granada 2–0 Eibar W: Result & Stats

Granada

FT

2 – 0

HT: 0 – 0

Eibar W

E. Imade 90+3', 85'

9/21/2024

Primera División Femenina · Round 3Ciudad Deportiva del Granada CF

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 45+ matches

Granada45%

×Draw26%

Eibar W29%

✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 6 more than always backing the home side

Model

49.7%

Always home

44.3%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 49.7% correct across 106,786 matches, vs 44.3% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.7% correct · Away picks 47.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

GranadaExpected goals in this matchEibar W

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

1.50

1.15

Granada

1.50

Eibar W

1.15

Granada creates 30% more chances

Season form · 45 home / 77 away

1.22

creates per match

0.78

1.51

allows per match

1.77

creates per match

Granada

1.22

Eibar W

0.78

allows per match

Granada

1.51

Eibar W

1.77

+0.00on par

finishing

+0.00on par

finishing

Granada+0.00on par

Eibar W+0.00on par

Total goals

Under51
Over49

Close call

Both teams score

Yes53
No47

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Granada ↓

Eibar W →

0

1

2

3

4

0

0–07%

0–18%

0–25%

0–32%

0–41%

1

1–011%

1–112%

1–27%

1–33%

1–41%

2

2–08%

2–19%

2–25%

2–32%

2–41%

3

3–04%

3–15%

3–23%

3–31%

3–40%

4

4–01%

4–12%

4–21%

4–30%

4–40%

Most likely 1–1 (12%) · grid covers 98% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5

93%7%1.5

74%26%2.5

49%51%3.5

27%73%4.5

13%87%

Double chance

Granada or draw

71%

Granada or Eibar W

74%

Draw or Eibar W

55%

Winning margin

Granada wins by 2+

22%

Eibar W wins by 2+

12%

Team goals

Granada 1+ goals

78%

Granada 2+ goals

44%

Granada 3+ goals

19%

Eibar W 1+ goals

68%

Eibar W 2+ goals

32%

Eibar W 3+ goals

11%

Draw no bet

Granada (draw refunded)

61%

Eibar W (draw refunded)

39%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals

41%

Both score & under 3

12%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Granada at home — creates 1.22, concedes 1.51 · 45 matches

Eibar W away — creates 0.78, concedes 1.77 · 77 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Granada attack 1.22 + Eibar W defence 1.77 → ÷2 → 1.50

Eibar W attack 0.78 + Granada defence 1.51 → ÷2 → 1.15

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 45%?"

Granada scores more

45%

level

26%

Eibar W scores more

29%

Granada at 45% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

injuries & suspensions
the matchday lineup
motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
weather & pitch condition
in-game coaching decisions

So 45% does not mean "Granada will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Player of the match

19

E. Imade

Granada · F

8.3

Match Events

37'

Elba Vergés Prats

56'

E. Imade← Paula Arana

56'

Leles← Ariadna Mingueza

59'

Alena Pěčková

62'

Patricia Ojeda Ramírez

68'

Ane Campos← E. van Deursen

69'

Arene Altonaga← A. Leitner

69'

M. Monnecchi← A. Álvarez

76'

Laura Camino← A. Pěčková

77'

Amaia Iribarren← Miku Kojima

78'

Marta Carrasco← Alba Pérez

85'

E. Imade↳ Laura Pérez

90+1'

Andrea Gómez← Lauri

90+3'

E. Imade↳ Cristina Postigo

Possession

Shots

Pass accuracy

Statistics

GranadaEibar

Overview

67%Possession33%

14Total Shots7

9Corners1

8Fouls12

Shots

14Total Shots7

3On Target1

6Off Target4

5Blocked2

10Inside Box2

4Outside Box5

Passing

67%Possession33%

414Total Passes211

294Accurate Passes103

71%Pass Accuracy49%

Goalkeeping

1Saves1

Discipline

8Fouls12

0Yellow Cards3

4Offsides0

Primera División Femenina: Granada 2–0 Eibar W

Granada beat Eibar W 2-0 in Primera División Femenina on September 21, 2024.

Goals: E. Imade (85', 90+3').

Granada controlled possession (67%) and registered 14 shots to 7.

The match was played at Ciudad Deportiva del Granada CF in Granada.

Granada vs Eibar W — Primera División Femenina 2018

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Total goals

Both teams score

Player of the match

Match Events

Head to Head

Possession

Shots

Pass accuracy

Statistics

Primera División Femenina: Granada 2–0 Eibar W