Granada CF 1–1 FC Andorra: Result & Stats

Granada CF

FT

1 – 1

HT: 1 – 1

FC Andorra

J. M. Arnaiz 22'

I. Garcia 27'

3/15/2026

Segunda División · Round 30Estadio Nuevo Los Cármenes

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on xG from last 5+ matches

Granada CF50%

×Draw27%

FC Andorra24%

✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side

Model

50.2%

Always home

44.6%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.2% correct across 582,215 matches, vs 44.6% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Granada CFExpected goals in this matchFC Andorra

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

1.46

0.92

Granada CF

1.46

FC Andorra

0.92

Granada CF creates 59% more chances

Season form · 5 home / 6 away

1.47

creates per match

1.06

0.78

allows per match

1.44

creates per match

Granada CF

1.47

FC Andorra

1.06

allows per match

Granada CF

0.78

FC Andorra

1.44

+0.33scores more than expected

finishing

+0.27scores more than expected

finishing

Granada CF+0.33scores more

FC Andorra+0.27scores more

Total goals

Under58
Over42

Fewer than 3 goals likely

Both teams score

No54
Yes46

One side may not score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Granada CF ↓

FC Andorra →

0

1

2

3

4

0

0–09%

0–19%

0–24%

0–31%

0–40%

1

1–014%

1–112%

1–26%

1–32%

1–40%

2

2–010%

2–19%

2–24%

2–31%

2–40%

3

3–05%

3–14%

3–22%

3–31%

3–40%

4

4–02%

4–12%

4–21%

4–30%

4–40%

Most likely 1–0 (14%) · grid covers 98% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5

91%9%1.5

69%31%2.5

42%58%3.5

22%78%4.5

9%91%

Double chance

Granada CF or draw

76%

Granada CF or FC Andorra

73%

Draw or FC Andorra

50%

Winning margin

Granada CF wins by 2+

25%

FC Andorra wins by 2+

8%

Team goals

Granada CF 1+ goals

77%

Granada CF 2+ goals

43%

Granada CF 3+ goals

18%

FC Andorra 1+ goals

60%

FC Andorra 2+ goals

23%

FC Andorra 3+ goals

7%

Draw no bet

Granada CF (draw refunded)

68%

FC Andorra (draw refunded)

32%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals

34%

Both score & under 3

12%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Granada CF at home — creates 1.47, concedes 0.78 · 5 matches

FC Andorra away — creates 1.06, concedes 1.44 · 6 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Granada CF attack 1.47 + FC Andorra defence 1.44 → ÷2 → 1.46

FC Andorra attack 1.06 + Granada CF defence 0.78 → ÷2 → 0.92

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 50%?"

Granada CF scores more

50%

level

27%

FC Andorra scores more

24%

Granada CF at 50% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

injuries & suspensions
the matchday lineup
motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
weather & pitch condition
in-game coaching decisions

So 50% does not mean "Granada CF will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Player of the match

7

A. Sola

Granada CF · M

7.9

Match Events

22'

27'

31'

42'

49'

60'

P. Saenz← M. Trigueros

60'

S. Rodelas← B. Diallo

61'

Sergio Molina

61'

O. Naasei← B. Diaby

65'

Alvaro← S. Molina

65'

Y. Cabanzon← M. Kim

68'

J. Pascual← B. Diocou

73'

A. Olabarrieta← J. Cerda

78'

81'

87'

87'

89'

A. Petxa← D. Villahermosa

89'

M. Cardona← T. Carrique

Possession

Shots

Pass accuracy

Statistics

GranadaFC

Overview

38%Possession62%

11Total Shots12

1.19Expected Goals (xG)0.98

6Corners9

12Fouls15

Shots

11Total Shots12

5On Target4

3Off Target4

3Blocked4

6Inside Box4

5Outside Box8

Passing

38%Possession62%

266Total Passes448

188Accurate Passes373

71%Pass Accuracy83%

Goalkeeping

3Saves4

Discipline

12Fouls15

4Yellow Cards3

3Offsides1

Match Recap: Granada CF vs FC Andorra

Granada CF and FC Andorra drew 1-1 in Segunda División on March 15, 2026.

Goals: J. M. Arnaiz (22'), I. Garcia (27').

FC Andorra controlled possession (62%) and registered 12 shots to 11.

The match was played at Estadio Nuevo Los Cármenes in Granada.

Granada CF vs FC Andorra — Segunda División 2018

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Total goals

Both teams score

Player of the match

Match Events

Head to Head

Possession

Shots

Pass accuracy

Statistics

Match Recap: Granada CF vs FC Andorra