Górnik Polkowice 0–0 Widzew Łódź: Result & Stats

Górnik Polkowice

FT

0 – 0

HT: 0 – 0

Widzew Łódź

3/13/2022

I Liga · Round 23Stadion GOS

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 17+ matches

Górnik Polkowice36%

×Draw31%

Widzew Łódź33%

✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side

Model

50.2%

Always home

44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.2% correct across 585,598 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Górnik PolkowiceExpected goals in this matchWidzew Łódź

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

1.04

0.99

Górnik Polkowice

1.04

Widzew Łódź

0.99

Both teams create about equally

Season form · 17 home / 34 away

0.88

creates per match

0.85

1.12

allows per match

1.21

creates per match

Górnik Polkowice

0.88

Widzew Łódź

0.85

allows per match

Górnik Polkowice

1.12

Widzew Łódź

1.21

+0.00on par

finishing

+0.00on par

finishing

Górnik Polkowice+0.00on par

Widzew Łódź+0.00on par

Total goals

Under67
Over33

Fewer than 3 goals likely

Both teams score

No59
Yes41

One side may not score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Górnik Polkowice ↓

Widzew Łódź →

0

1

2

3

4

0

0–013%

0–113%

0–26%

0–32%

0–41%

1

1–014%

1–114%

1–27%

1–32%

1–41%

2

2–07%

2–17%

2–23%

2–31%

2–40%

3

3–02%

3–12%

3–21%

3–30%

3–40%

4

4–01%

4–11%

4–20%

4–30%

4–40%

Most likely 1–0 (14%) · grid covers 99% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5

87%13%1.5

60%40%2.5

33%67%3.5

15%85%4.5

6%94%

Double chance

Górnik Polkowice or draw

67%

Górnik Polkowice or Widzew Łódź

69%

Draw or Widzew Łódź

64%

Winning margin

Górnik Polkowice wins by 2+

14%

Widzew Łódź wins by 2+

12%

Team goals

Górnik Polkowice 1+ goals

65%

Górnik Polkowice 2+ goals

28%

Górnik Polkowice 3+ goals

9%

Widzew Łódź 1+ goals

63%

Widzew Łódź 2+ goals

26%

Widzew Łódź 3+ goals

8%

Draw no bet

Górnik Polkowice (draw refunded)

52%

Widzew Łódź (draw refunded)

48%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals

27%

Both score & under 3

14%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Górnik Polkowice at home — creates 0.88, concedes 1.12 · 17 matches

Widzew Łódź away — creates 0.85, concedes 1.21 · 34 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Górnik Polkowice attack 0.88 + Widzew Łódź defence 1.21 → ÷2 → 1.04

Widzew Łódź attack 0.85 + Górnik Polkowice defence 1.12 → ÷2 → 0.99

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 36%?"

Górnik Polkowice scores more

36%

level

31%

Widzew Łódź scores more

33%

Górnik Polkowice at 36% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

injuries & suspensions
the matchday lineup
motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
weather & pitch condition
in-game coaching decisions

So 36% does not mean "Górnik Polkowice will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Match Events

32'

45+3'

45'

56'

57'

58'

65'

65'

B. Guzdek← K. Danielak

65'

Dani Villanueva← K. Hansen

68'

D. Makuch← A. Purzycki

73'

M. Opałacz← M. Biernat

73'

M. Szuszkiewicz← A. Hafez

75'

M. Szuszkiewicz

84'

F. Baranowski← M. Piątkowski

85'

M. Opalacz

87'

M. Bojdys

87'

M. Bojdys

88'

E. Terpiłowski← P. Lipski

88'

M. Michalski← R. Gołębiowski

90+5'

E. Sobkow

Górnik

Widzew

▼

▼

▼

▼

▼

▼

▼

▼

▼

Manager: S. Szydelko

68'▲D. Makuch←▼A. Purzycki

73'▲M. Opałacz←▼M. Biernat

73'▲M. Szuszkiewicz←▼A. Hafez

84'▲F. Baranowski←▼M. Piątkowski

Górnik Polkowice substitutes

MakuchOpałaczSzuszkiewiczBaranowskiŻołądźKrakowskiRadziemskiBancewiczFurtak

Manager: J. Niedźwiedź

45'▲K. Reszka←▼J. Wrąbel

65'▲B. Guzdek←▼K. Danielak

65'▲Dani Villanueva←▼K. Hansen

88'▲E. Terpiłowski←▼P. Lipski

88'▲M. Michalski←▼R. Gołębiowski

Widzew Łódź substitutes

ReszkaGuzdekVillanuevaTerpiłowskiMichalskiMontiniKitaMucha

Match Recap: Górnik Polkowice vs Widzew Łódź

Górnik Polkowice and Widzew Łódź drew 0-0 in I Liga on March 13, 2022.

The match was played at Stadion GOS in Głogów.

Górnik Polkowice vs Widzew Łódź — I Liga 2026

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Total goals

Both teams score

Match Events

Head to Head

Match Recap: Górnik Polkowice vs Widzew Łódź