Górnik Polkowice 5–0 Gryf Wejherowo: Result & Stats

Górnik Polkowice

FT

5 – 0

HT: 1 – 0

Gryf Wejherowo

M. Szuszkiewicz 89'

P. Mucha 82'

M. Bednarski 61', 44'

K. Wacławczyk 57'

11/2/2019

II Liga - East · Round 16Stadion Górnik

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 17+ matches

Górnik Polkowice75%

×Draw15%

Gryf Wejherowo10%

✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side

Model

50.2%

Always home

44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.2% correct across 585,598 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Górnik PolkowiceExpected goals in this matchGryf Wejherowo

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

2.59

0.84

Górnik Polkowice

2.59

Gryf Wejherowo

0.84

Górnik Polkowice creates 208% more chances

Season form · 53 home / 17 away

2.00

creates per match

0.53

1.15

allows per match

3.18

creates per match

Górnik Polkowice

2.00

Gryf Wejherowo

0.53

allows per match

Górnik Polkowice

1.15

Gryf Wejherowo

3.18

+0.00on par

finishing

+0.00on par

finishing

Górnik Polkowice+0.00on par

Gryf Wejherowo+0.00on par

Total goals

Over66
Under34

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

Yes52
No48

Close call

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Górnik Polkowice ↓

Gryf Wejherowo →

0

1

2

3

4

0

0–03%

0–13%

0–21%

0–30%

0–40%

1

1–09%

1–17%

1–23%

1–31%

1–40%

2

2–011%

2–19%

2–24%

2–31%

2–40%

3

3–010%

3–18%

3–23%

3–31%

3–40%

4

4–06%

4–15%

4–22%

4–31%

4–40%

Most likely 2–0 (11%) · grid covers 89% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5

97%3%1.5

85%15%2.5

66%34%3.5

44%56%4.5

25%75%

Double chance

Górnik Polkowice or draw

90%

Górnik Polkowice or Gryf Wejherowo

85%

Draw or Gryf Wejherowo

25%

Winning margin

Górnik Polkowice wins by 2+

53%

Gryf Wejherowo wins by 2+

3%

Team goals

Górnik Polkowice 1+ goals

92%

Górnik Polkowice 2+ goals

73%

Górnik Polkowice 3+ goals

47%

Gryf Wejherowo 1+ goals

57%

Gryf Wejherowo 2+ goals

21%

Gryf Wejherowo 3+ goals

5%

Draw no bet

Górnik Polkowice (draw refunded)

88%

Gryf Wejherowo (draw refunded)

12%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals

45%

Both score & under 3

7%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Górnik Polkowice at home — creates 2.00, concedes 1.15 · 53 matches

Gryf Wejherowo away — creates 0.53, concedes 3.18 · 17 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Górnik Polkowice attack 2.00 + Gryf Wejherowo defence 3.18 → ÷2 → 2.59

Gryf Wejherowo attack 0.53 + Górnik Polkowice defence 1.15 → ÷2 → 0.84

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 75%?"

Górnik Polkowice scores more

75%

level

15%

Gryf Wejherowo scores more

10%

Górnik Polkowice at 75% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

injuries & suspensions
the matchday lineup
motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
weather & pitch condition
in-game coaching decisions

So 75% does not mean "Górnik Polkowice will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Match Events

44'

M. Bednarski

46'

M. Gabor← S. Nowicki

46'

M. Majewski← M. Burkhardt

57'

K. Wacławczyk

61'

M. Bednarski

63'

E. Sobków← P. Azikiewicz

66'

T. Kolus← P. Czychowski

67'

K. Baranowski← M. Hebel

71'

W. Galas← K. Wacławczyk

79'

K. Fryzowicz← M. Bednarski

82'

P. Mucha

84'

D. Malkowski← F. Baranowski

89'

M. Szuszkiewicz

Górnik

Gryf

▼

▼

▼

▼

⚽

▼

▼

⚽

▼

⚽

⚽2

▼

Bednarski

Manager: E. Dobi

63'▲E. Sobków←▼P. Azikiewicz

71'▲W. Galas←▼K. Wacławczyk

79'▲K. Fryzowicz←▼M. Bednarski

84'▲D. Malkowski←▼F. Baranowski

Górnik Polkowice substitutes

SobkówGalasFryzowiczMalkowski

Manager: L. Kowalski

46'▲M. Gabor←▼S. Nowicki

46'▲M. Majewski←▼M. Burkhardt

66'▲T. Kolus←▼P. Czychowski

67'▲K. Baranowski←▼M. Hebel

Gryf Wejherowo substitutes

GaborMajewskiKolusBaranowski

II Liga - East: Górnik Polkowice 5–0 Gryf Wejherowo

Górnik Polkowice beat Gryf Wejherowo 5-0 in II Liga - East on November 2, 2019.

Goals: M. Bednarski (44', 61'), K. Wacławczyk (57'), P. Mucha (82'), M. Szuszkiewicz (89').

The match was played at Stadion Górnik in Polkowice.

Górnik Polkowice vs Gryf Wejherowo — II Liga - East 2026

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Total goals

Both teams score

Match Events

Head to Head

II Liga - East: Górnik Polkowice 5–0 Gryf Wejherowo