Gokulam 6–2 Inter Kashi: Result & Stats | I-League

Gokulam

FT

6 – 2

HT: 3 – 2

Inter Kashi

1/24/2025

I-League · Round 10EMS Stadium

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 23+ matches

Gokulam48%

×Draw24%

Inter Kashi28%

✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side

Model

50.3%

Always home

44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.3% correct across 582,450 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.5% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

GokulamExpected goals in this matchInter Kashi

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

1.75

1.28

Gokulam

1.75

Inter Kashi

1.28

Gokulam creates 37% more chances

Season form · 65 home / 23 away

1.98

creates per match

1.39

1.18

allows per match

1.52

creates per match

Gokulam

1.98

Inter Kashi

1.39

allows per match

Gokulam

1.18

Inter Kashi

1.52

+0.00on par

finishing

+0.00on par

finishing

Gokulam+0.00on par

Inter Kashi+0.00on par

Total goals

Over58
Under42

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

Yes60
No40

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Gokulam ↓

Inter Kashi →

0

1

2

3

4

0

0–05%

0–16%

0–24%

0–32%

0–41%

1

1–08%

1–111%

1–27%

1–33%

1–41%

2

2–07%

2–19%

2–26%

2–33%

2–41%

3

3–04%

3–16%

3–24%

3–32%

3–40%

4

4–02%

4–12%

4–22%

4–31%

4–40%

Most likely 1–1 (11%) · grid covers 96% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5

95%5%1.5

80%20%2.5

58%42%3.5

36%64%4.5

19%81%

Double chance

Gokulam or draw

72%

Gokulam or Inter Kashi

76%

Draw or Inter Kashi

52%

Winning margin

Gokulam wins by 2+

26%

Inter Kashi wins by 2+

12%

Team goals

Gokulam 1+ goals

83%

Gokulam 2+ goals

52%

Gokulam 3+ goals

25%

Inter Kashi 1+ goals

72%

Inter Kashi 2+ goals

37%

Inter Kashi 3+ goals

14%

Draw no bet

Gokulam (draw refunded)

63%

Inter Kashi (draw refunded)

37%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals

49%

Both score & under 3

11%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Gokulam at home — creates 1.98, concedes 1.18 · 65 matches

Inter Kashi away — creates 1.39, concedes 1.52 · 23 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Gokulam attack 1.98 + Inter Kashi defence 1.52 → ÷2 → 1.75

Inter Kashi attack 1.39 + Gokulam defence 1.18 → ÷2 → 1.28

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 48%?"

Gokulam scores more

48%

level

24%

Inter Kashi scores more

28%

Gokulam at 48% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

injuries & suspensions
the matchday lineup
motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
weather & pitch condition
in-game coaching decisions

So 48% does not mean "Gokulam will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff