Gloria Bistrița-Năsăud W 5–0 Olimpia Cluj W

Gloria Bistrița-Năsăud W

FT

5 – 0

HT: 1 – 0

Olimpia Cluj W

4/26/2025

Liga 1 Feminin · Championship Round - 8Baza Sportivă Gloria

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 39+ matches

Gloria Bistrița-Năsăud W44%

×Draw19%

Olimpia Cluj W37%

✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side

Model

50.3%

Always home

44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.3% correct across 582,450 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.5% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Gloria Bistrița-Năsăud WExpected goals in this matchOlimpia Cluj W

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

2.42

2.23

Gloria Bistrița-Năsăud W

2.42

Olimpia Cluj W

2.23

Both teams create about equally

Season form · 39 home / 70 away

3.67

creates per match

3.27

1.18

allows per match

1.16

creates per match

Gloria Bistrița-Năsăud W

3.67

Olimpia Cluj W

3.27

allows per match

Gloria Bistrița-Năsăud W

1.18

Olimpia Cluj W

1.16

+0.00on par

finishing

+0.00on par

finishing

Gloria Bistrița-Năsăud W+0.00on par

Olimpia Cluj W+0.00on par

Total goals

Over84
Under16

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

Yes81
No19

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Gloria Bistrița-Năsăud W ↓

Olimpia Cluj W →

0

1

2

3

4

0

0–01%

0–12%

0–22%

0–32%

0–41%

1

1–02%

1–15%

1–26%

1–34%

1–42%

2

2–03%

2–16%

2–27%

2–35%

2–43%

3

3–02%

3–15%

3–26%

3–34%

3–42%

4

4–01%

4–13%

4–23%

4–33%

4–41%

Most likely 2–2 (7%) · grid covers 85% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5

99%1%1.5

94%6%2.5

84%16%3.5

68%32%4.5

49%51%

Double chance

Gloria Bistrița-Năsăud W or draw

63%

Gloria Bistrița-Năsăud W or Olimpia Cluj W

81%

Draw or Olimpia Cluj W

56%

Winning margin

Gloria Bistrița-Năsăud W wins by 2+

26%

Olimpia Cluj W wins by 2+

21%

Team goals

Gloria Bistrița-Năsăud W 1+ goals

91%

Gloria Bistrița-Năsăud W 2+ goals

69%

Gloria Bistrița-Năsăud W 3+ goals

43%

Olimpia Cluj W 1+ goals

89%

Olimpia Cluj W 2+ goals

65%

Olimpia Cluj W 3+ goals

38%

Draw no bet

Gloria Bistrița-Năsăud W (draw refunded)

54%

Olimpia Cluj W (draw refunded)

46%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals

76%

Both score & under 3

5%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Gloria Bistrița-Năsăud W at home — creates 3.67, concedes 1.18 · 39 matches

Olimpia Cluj W away — creates 3.27, concedes 1.16 · 70 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Gloria Bistrița-Năsăud W attack 3.67 + Olimpia Cluj W defence 1.16 → ÷2 → 2.42

Olimpia Cluj W attack 3.27 + Gloria Bistrița-Năsăud W defence 1.18 → ÷2 → 2.23

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 44%?"

Gloria Bistrița-Năsăud W scores more

44%

level

19%

Olimpia Cluj W scores more

37%

Gloria Bistrița-Năsăud W at 44% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

injuries & suspensions
the matchday lineup
motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
weather & pitch condition
in-game coaching decisions

So 44% does not mean "Gloria Bistrița-Năsăud W will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff