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Gloria Bistrița-Năsăud W vs Csikszereda MC W — Liga 1 Feminin 2020

Gloria Bistrița-Năsăud W
Gloria Bistrița-Năsăud W
FT
2 – 2
HT: 1 – 0
Csikszereda MC W
Csikszereda MC W
4/12/2025Liga 1 FemininLiga 1 Feminin · Championship Round - 6Stadionul Jean Pădureanu

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 39+ matches

Gloria Bistrița-Năsăud W61%
×Draw19%
Csikszereda MC W21%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50.3%
Always home
44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.3% correct across 582,450 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.5% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Gloria Bistrița-Năsăud W
2.49
Csikszereda MC W
1.40

Gloria Bistrița-Năsăud W creates 78% more chances

Season form · 39 home / 49 away

creates per match

Gloria Bistrița-Năsăud W
3.67
Csikszereda MC W
1.63

allows per match

Gloria Bistrița-Năsăud W
1.18
Csikszereda MC W
1.31

finishing

Gloria Bistrița-Năsăud W+0.00on par
Csikszereda MC W+0.00on par

Total goals

74%Over
  • Over74
  • Under26

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

69%Yes
  • Yes69
  • No31

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Gloria Bistrița-Năsăud W ↓

Csikszereda MC W →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–02%
0–13%
0–22%
0–31%
0–40%
1
1–05%
1–17%
1–25%
1–32%
1–41%
2
2–06%
2–19%
2–26%
2–33%
2–41%
3
3–05%
3–17%
3–25%
3–32%
3–41%
4
4–03%
4–15%
4–23%
4–32%
4–41%

Most likely 2–1 (9%) · grid covers 89% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
98%2%1.5
90%10%2.5
74%26%3.5
54%46%4.5
34%66%

Double chance

Gloria Bistrița-Năsăud W or draw
79%
Gloria Bistrița-Năsăud W or Csikszereda MC W
81%
Draw or Csikszereda MC W
39%

Winning margin

Gloria Bistrița-Năsăud W wins by 2+
40%
Csikszereda MC W wins by 2+
9%

Team goals

Gloria Bistrița-Năsăud W 1+ goals
92%
Gloria Bistrița-Năsăud W 2+ goals
71%
Gloria Bistrița-Năsăud W 3+ goals
45%
Csikszereda MC W 1+ goals
75%
Csikszereda MC W 2+ goals
41%
Csikszereda MC W 3+ goals
17%

Draw no bet

Gloria Bistrița-Năsăud W (draw refunded)
75%
Csikszereda MC W (draw refunded)
25%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
62%
Both score & under 3
7%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Gloria Bistrița-Năsăud W at home — creates 3.67, concedes 1.18 · 39 matches

Csikszereda MC W away — creates 1.63, concedes 1.31 · 49 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Gloria Bistrița-Năsăud W attack 3.67 + Csikszereda MC W defence 1.31 → ÷2 → 2.49

Csikszereda MC W attack 1.63 + Gloria Bistrița-Năsăud W defence 1.18 → ÷2 → 1.40

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 61%?"

Gloria Bistrița-Năsăud W scores more
61%
level
19%
Csikszereda MC W scores more
21%

Gloria Bistrița-Năsăud W at 61% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 61% does not mean "Gloria Bistrița-Năsăud W will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Liga 1 Feminin: Gloria Bistrița-Năsăud W 2–2 Csikszereda MC W

Gloria Bistrița-Năsăud W and Csikszereda MC W drew 2-2 in Liga 1 Feminin on April 12, 2025.

The match was played at Stadionul Jean Pădureanu in Bistriţa.