Scoreo
FootballHockeyTennisBasketballVolleyballHandballBaseballRugbyMMAFormula 1

Glentoran BU W vs Cliftonville W — Premiership Women 2026

Glentoran BU W
Glentoran BU W
FT
0 – 2
HT: 0 – 0
Cliftonville W
Cliftonville W
N. Mclaughlin 89'
C. McGuinness 50'
7/25/2025Premiership WomenPremiership Women · Round 8Blanchflower Stadium

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 12+ matches

Glentoran BU W45%
×Draw21%
Cliftonville W34%
✓ Correct in 49 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
48.6%
Always home
43.8%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 48.6% correct across 15,072 matches, vs 43.8% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.1% correct · Away picks 45.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Glentoran BU W
2.00
Cliftonville W
1.72

Glentoran BU W creates 16% more chances

Season form · 16 home / 12 away

creates per match

Glentoran BU W
3.75
Cliftonville W
3.00

allows per match

Glentoran BU W
0.44
Cliftonville W
0.25

finishing

Glentoran BU W+0.00on par
Cliftonville W+0.00on par

Total goals

72%Over
  • Over72
  • Under28

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

71%Yes
  • Yes71
  • No29

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Glentoran BU W ↓

Cliftonville W →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–02%
0–14%
0–24%
0–32%
0–41%
1
1–05%
1–18%
1–27%
1–34%
1–42%
2
2–05%
2–18%
2–27%
2–34%
2–42%
3
3–03%
3–16%
3–25%
3–33%
3–41%
4
4–02%
4–13%
4–22%
4–31%
4–41%

Most likely 1–1 (8%) · grid covers 92% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
98%2%1.5
88%12%2.5
72%28%3.5
51%49%4.5
31%69%

Double chance

Glentoran BU W or draw
66%
Glentoran BU W or Cliftonville W
79%
Draw or Cliftonville W
55%

Winning margin

Glentoran BU W wins by 2+
25%
Cliftonville W wins by 2+
17%

Team goals

Glentoran BU W 1+ goals
86%
Glentoran BU W 2+ goals
59%
Glentoran BU W 3+ goals
32%
Cliftonville W 1+ goals
82%
Cliftonville W 2+ goals
51%
Cliftonville W 3+ goals
25%

Draw no bet

Glentoran BU W (draw refunded)
57%
Cliftonville W (draw refunded)
43%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
63%
Both score & under 3
8%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Glentoran BU W at home — creates 3.75, concedes 0.44 · 16 matches

Cliftonville W away — creates 3.00, concedes 0.25 · 12 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Glentoran BU W attack 3.75 + Cliftonville W defence 0.25 → ÷2 → 2.00

Cliftonville W attack 3.00 + Glentoran BU W defence 0.44 → ÷2 → 1.72

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 45%?"

Glentoran BU W scores more
45%
level
21%
Cliftonville W scores more
34%

Glentoran BU W at 45% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 45% does not mean "Glentoran BU W will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Match Events

50'
C. McGuinness
89'
N. Mclaughlin
Glentoran
Cliftonville
K. Turner
Manager: K. Turner
J. McGrady
Manager: J. McGrady

Match Recap: Glentoran BU W vs Cliftonville W

Cliftonville W beat Glentoran BU W 2-0 in Premiership Women on July 25, 2025.

Goals: C. McGuinness (50'), N. Mclaughlin (89').

The match was played at Blanchflower Stadium in Belfast.