Scoreo
FootballHockeyTennisBasketballVolleyballHandballBaseballRugbyMMAFormula 1

Gimcheon Sangmu FC vs FC Anyang — K League 1 2026

Gimcheon Sangmu FC
Gimcheon Sangmu FC
FT
1 – 1
HT: 0 – 0
FC Anyang
FC Anyang
4/12/2026K League 1K League 1 · Round 7Gimcheon Stadium

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 28+ matches

Gimcheon Sangmu FC38%
×Draw27%
FC Anyang35%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50%
Always home
44.6%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50% correct across 579,794 matches, vs 44.6% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.2% correct · Away picks 49.2% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Gimcheon Sangmu FC
1.25
FC Anyang
1.19

Both teams create about equally

Season form · 119 home / 28 away

creates per match

Gimcheon Sangmu FC
1.32
FC Anyang
1.18

allows per match

Gimcheon Sangmu FC
1.19
FC Anyang
1.18

finishing

Gimcheon Sangmu FC+0.00on par
FC Anyang+0.00on par

Total goals

56%Under
  • Under56
  • Over44

Fewer than 3 goals likely

Both teams score

50%No
  • No50
  • Yes50

Close call

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Gimcheon Sangmu FC ↓

FC Anyang →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–09%
0–110%
0–26%
0–32%
0–41%
1
1–011%
1–113%
1–28%
1–33%
1–41%
2
2–07%
2–18%
2–25%
2–32%
2–41%
3
3–03%
3–13%
3–22%
3–31%
3–40%
4
4–01%
4–11%
4–21%
4–30%
4–40%

Most likely 1–1 (13%) · grid covers 98% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
91%9%1.5
70%30%2.5
44%56%3.5
23%77%4.5
10%90%

Double chance

Gimcheon Sangmu FC or draw
65%
Gimcheon Sangmu FC or FC Anyang
73%
Draw or FC Anyang
62%

Winning margin

Gimcheon Sangmu FC wins by 2+
16%
FC Anyang wins by 2+
15%

Team goals

Gimcheon Sangmu FC 1+ goals
71%
Gimcheon Sangmu FC 2+ goals
36%
Gimcheon Sangmu FC 3+ goals
13%
FC Anyang 1+ goals
70%
FC Anyang 2+ goals
33%
FC Anyang 3+ goals
12%

Draw no bet

Gimcheon Sangmu FC (draw refunded)
52%
FC Anyang (draw refunded)
48%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
37%
Both score & under 3
13%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Gimcheon Sangmu FC at home — creates 1.32, concedes 1.19 · 119 matches

FC Anyang away — creates 1.18, concedes 1.18 · 28 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Gimcheon Sangmu FC attack 1.32 + FC Anyang defence 1.18 → ÷2 → 1.25

FC Anyang attack 1.18 + Gimcheon Sangmu FC defence 1.19 → ÷2 → 1.19

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 38%?"

Gimcheon Sangmu FC scores more
38%
level
27%
FC Anyang scores more
35%

Gimcheon Sangmu FC at 38% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 38% does not mean "Gimcheon Sangmu FC will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Match Recap: Gimcheon Sangmu FC vs FC Anyang

Gimcheon Sangmu FC and FC Anyang drew 1-1 in K League 1 on April 12, 2026.

The match was played at Gimcheon Stadium in Gimcheon.