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General Lamadrid vs Deportivo Paraguayo — Primera C 2026

General Lamadrid
General Lamadrid
FT
0 – 2
HT: 0 – 1
Deportivo Paraguayo
Deportivo Paraguayo
6/1/2025Primera CPrimera C · Round 13Estadio Enrique VI

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 50+ matches

General Lamadrid51%
×Draw28%
Deportivo Paraguayo21%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50%
Always home
44.6%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50% correct across 579,794 matches, vs 44.6% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.2% correct · Away picks 49.2% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

General Lamadrid
1.36
Deportivo Paraguayo
0.76

General Lamadrid creates 79% more chances

Season form · 140 home / 50 away

creates per match

General Lamadrid
1.31
Deportivo Paraguayo
0.68

allows per match

General Lamadrid
0.84
Deportivo Paraguayo
1.42

finishing

General Lamadrid+0.00on par
Deportivo Paraguayo+0.00on par

Total goals

64%Under
  • Under64
  • Over36

Fewer than 3 goals likely

Both teams score

60%No
  • No60
  • Yes40

One side may not score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

General Lamadrid ↓

Deportivo Paraguayo →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–012%
0–19%
0–23%
0–31%
0–40%
1
1–016%
1–112%
1–25%
1–31%
1–40%
2
2–011%
2–18%
2–23%
2–31%
2–40%
3
3–05%
3–14%
3–21%
3–30%
3–40%
4
4–02%
4–11%
4–20%
4–30%
4–40%

Most likely 1–0 (16%) · grid covers 99% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
88%12%1.5
63%37%2.5
36%64%3.5
16%84%4.5
6%94%

Double chance

General Lamadrid or draw
79%
General Lamadrid or Deportivo Paraguayo
72%
Draw or Deportivo Paraguayo
49%

Winning margin

General Lamadrid wins by 2+
25%
Deportivo Paraguayo wins by 2+
6%

Team goals

General Lamadrid 1+ goals
74%
General Lamadrid 2+ goals
39%
General Lamadrid 3+ goals
16%
Deportivo Paraguayo 1+ goals
53%
Deportivo Paraguayo 2+ goals
18%
Deportivo Paraguayo 3+ goals
4%

Draw no bet

General Lamadrid (draw refunded)
71%
Deportivo Paraguayo (draw refunded)
29%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
27%
Both score & under 3
12%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

General Lamadrid at home — creates 1.31, concedes 0.84 · 140 matches

Deportivo Paraguayo away — creates 0.68, concedes 1.42 · 50 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

General Lamadrid attack 1.31 + Deportivo Paraguayo defence 1.42 → ÷2 → 1.36

Deportivo Paraguayo attack 0.68 + General Lamadrid defence 0.84 → ÷2 → 0.76

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 51%?"

General Lamadrid scores more
51%
level
28%
Deportivo Paraguayo scores more
21%

General Lamadrid at 51% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 51% does not mean "General Lamadrid will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Match Recap: General Lamadrid vs Deportivo Paraguayo

Deportivo Paraguayo beat General Lamadrid 2-0 in Primera C on June 1, 2025.

The match was played at Estadio Enrique VI in Capital Federal, Ciudad de Buenos Aires.