Scoreo
FootballHockeyTennisBasketballVolleyballHandballBaseballRugbyMMAFormula 1

Galanta vs Lednické Rovne — 3. liga - West 2020

Galanta
Galanta
FT
1 – 0
HT: 0 – 0
Lednické Rovne
Lednické Rovne
3/6/20223. liga - West3. liga - West · West - 33FC Slovan Galanta umelá tráva

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 24+ matches

Galanta57%
×Draw24%
Lednické Rovne19%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 6 more than always backing the home side
Model
49.7%
Always home
44.3%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 49.7% correct across 106,786 matches, vs 44.3% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.7% correct · Away picks 47.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Galanta
1.71
Lednické Rovne
0.88

Galanta creates 94% more chances

Season form · 85 home / 24 away

creates per match

Galanta
1.72
Lednické Rovne
0.83

allows per match

Galanta
0.92
Lednické Rovne
1.71

finishing

Galanta+0.00on par
Lednické Rovne+0.00on par

Total goals

52%Under
  • Under52
  • Over48

Close call

Both teams score

52%No
  • No52
  • Yes48

Close call

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Galanta ↓

Lednické Rovne →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–08%
0–17%
0–23%
0–31%
0–40%
1
1–013%
1–111%
1–25%
1–31%
1–40%
2
2–011%
2–110%
2–24%
2–31%
2–40%
3
3–06%
3–16%
3–22%
3–31%
3–40%
4
4–03%
4–12%
4–21%
4–30%
4–40%

Most likely 1–0 (13%) · grid covers 97% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
92%8%1.5
73%27%2.5
48%52%3.5
26%74%4.5
12%88%

Double chance

Galanta or draw
81%
Galanta or Lednické Rovne
76%
Draw or Lednické Rovne
43%

Winning margin

Galanta wins by 2+
32%
Lednické Rovne wins by 2+
6%

Team goals

Galanta 1+ goals
82%
Galanta 2+ goals
51%
Galanta 3+ goals
24%
Lednické Rovne 1+ goals
59%
Lednické Rovne 2+ goals
22%
Lednické Rovne 3+ goals
6%

Draw no bet

Galanta (draw refunded)
75%
Lednické Rovne (draw refunded)
25%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
37%
Both score & under 3
11%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Galanta at home — creates 1.72, concedes 0.92 · 85 matches

Lednické Rovne away — creates 0.83, concedes 1.71 · 24 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Galanta attack 1.72 + Lednické Rovne defence 1.71 → ÷2 → 1.71

Lednické Rovne attack 0.83 + Galanta defence 0.92 → ÷2 → 0.88

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 57%?"

Galanta scores more
57%
level
24%
Lednické Rovne scores more
19%

Galanta at 57% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 57% does not mean "Galanta will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Match Recap: Galanta vs Lednické Rovne

Galanta beat Lednické Rovne 1-0 in 3. liga - West on March 6, 2022.

The match was played at FC Slovan Galanta umelá tráva in Galanta.