Scoreo
FootballHockeyTennisBasketballVolleyballHandballBaseballRugbyMMAFormula 1

Fyllingsdalen vs Os — 3. Division - Girone 1 2026

Fyllingsdalen
Fyllingsdalen
FT
4 – 2
HT: 3 – 1
Os
Os
D. Tufta 83', 10'
J. Toftesund 40'
J. Eide 20'
R. B. Ekeland 57' (pen), 1'
4/13/20223. Division - Girone 13. Division - Girone 1 · Girone 1 - 2Varden Amfi

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 13+ matches

Fyllingsdalen34%
×Draw20%
Os47%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50.2%
Always home
44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.2% correct across 585,598 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Fyllingsdalen
2.05
Os
2.42

Os creates 18% more chances

Season form · 13 home / 39 away

creates per match

Fyllingsdalen
2.31
Os
2.31

allows per match

Fyllingsdalen
2.54
Os
1.79

finishing

Fyllingsdalen+0.00on par
Os+0.00on par

Total goals

82%Over
  • Over82
  • Under18

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

79%Yes
  • Yes79
  • No21

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Fyllingsdalen ↓

Os →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–01%
0–13%
0–23%
0–33%
0–42%
1
1–02%
1–16%
1–27%
1–36%
1–43%
2
2–02%
2–16%
2–27%
2–36%
2–43%
3
3–02%
3–14%
3–25%
3–34%
3–42%
4
4–01%
4–12%
4–23%
4–32%
4–41%

Most likely 1–2 (7%) · grid covers 86% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
99%1%1.5
94%6%2.5
82%18%3.5
65%35%4.5
45%55%

Double chance

Fyllingsdalen or draw
53%
Fyllingsdalen or Os
80%
Draw or Os
66%

Winning margin

Fyllingsdalen wins by 2+
18%
Os wins by 2+
28%

Team goals

Fyllingsdalen 1+ goals
87%
Fyllingsdalen 2+ goals
61%
Fyllingsdalen 3+ goals
33%
Os 1+ goals
91%
Os 2+ goals
69%
Os 3+ goals
43%

Draw no bet

Fyllingsdalen (draw refunded)
42%
Os (draw refunded)
58%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
73%
Both score & under 3
6%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Fyllingsdalen at home — creates 2.31, concedes 2.54 · 13 matches

Os away — creates 2.31, concedes 1.79 · 39 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Fyllingsdalen attack 2.31 + Os defence 1.79 → ÷2 → 2.05

Os attack 2.31 + Fyllingsdalen defence 2.54 → ÷2 → 2.42

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 47%?"

Fyllingsdalen scores more
34%
level
20%
Os scores more
47%

Os at 47% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 47% does not mean "Os will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Match Events

1'
R. B. Ekeland
10'
D. Tufta
20'
J. Eide
40'
J. Toftesund
57'
R. B. EkelandPenalty
83'
D. Tufta

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Match Recap: Fyllingsdalen vs Os

Fyllingsdalen beat Os 4-2 in 3. Division - Girone 1 on April 13, 2022.

Goals: R. B. Ekeland (1', 57' pen), D. Tufta (10', 83'), J. Eide (20'), J. Toftesund (40').

The match was played at Varden Amfi in Bergen.