Scoreo

Fyllingsdalen vs Loddefjord3. Division - Girone 4 2026

Fyllingsdalen
Fyllingsdalen
FT
60
HT: 30
Loddefjord
Loddefjord
C. Johnson 82'
J. Stjernberg 50', 18', 2'
A. Bygland 41'

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 13+ matches

Fyllingsdalen73%
×Draw13%
Loddefjord13%
Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50.2%
Always home
44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.2% correct across 585,598 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Fyllingsdalen
3.63
Loddefjord
1.58

Fyllingsdalen creates 130% more chances

Season form · 19 home / 13 away

creates per match

Fyllingsdalen
2.42
Loddefjord
1.00

allows per match

Fyllingsdalen
2.16
Loddefjord
4.85

finishing

Fyllingsdalen+0.00on par
Loddefjord+0.00on par

Total goals

88%Over
  • Over88
  • Under12

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

77%Yes
  • Yes77
  • No23

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Fyllingsdalen

Loddefjord
0
1
2
3
4
0
001%
011%
021%
030%
040%
1
102%
113%
123%
131%
141%
2
204%
216%
225%
233%
241%
3
305%
317%
326%
333%
341%
4
404%
417%
425%
433%
441%

Most likely 3–1 (7%) · grid covers 74% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
99%1%1.5
96%4%2.5
88%12%3.5
74%26%4.5
56%44%

Double chance

Fyllingsdalen or draw
87%
Fyllingsdalen or Loddefjord
87%
Draw or Loddefjord
27%

Winning margin

Fyllingsdalen wins by 2+
55%
Loddefjord wins by 2+
6%

Team goals

Fyllingsdalen 1+ goals
97%
Fyllingsdalen 2+ goals
87%
Fyllingsdalen 3+ goals
68%
Loddefjord 1+ goals
79%
Loddefjord 2+ goals
47%
Loddefjord 3+ goals
21%

Draw no bet

Fyllingsdalen (draw refunded)
85%
Loddefjord (draw refunded)
15%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
74%
Both score & under 3
3%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Fyllingsdalen at homecreates 2.42, concedes 2.16 · 19 matches

Loddefjord awaycreates 1.00, concedes 4.85 · 13 matches

Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Fyllingsdalen attack 2.42 + Loddefjord defence 4.85 → ÷2 → 3.63

Loddefjord attack 1.00 + Fyllingsdalen defence 2.16 → ÷2 → 1.58

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 73%?"

Fyllingsdalen scores more
73%
level
13%
Loddefjord scores more
13%

Fyllingsdalen at 73% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 73% does not mean "Fyllingsdalen will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

3. Division - Girone 4: Fyllingsdalen 6–0 Loddefjord

Fyllingsdalen beat Loddefjord 6-0 in 3. Division - Girone 4 on October 19, 2025.

Goals: J. Stjernberg (2', 18', 50'), A. Bygland (41'), M. H. Aljenniyat (66'), C. Johnson (82').

The match was played at Varden Amfi in Bergen.