Statistical Prediction
Based on xG from last 17+ matches
Over / Under 2.5
70%
Over
30%
Under
Both Score
68%
Yes
32%
No
Most Likely Scores
1-2
9%
1-1
9%
2-2
7%
xG Profile (22 home / 17 away matches)
FSV Mainz 05
xG 1.63 · xGA 1.48
-0.4 vs xG
Bayern München
xG 2.76 · xGA 1.4
+0.42 vs xG
Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.
- Date
- Apr 25, 2026, 1:30 PM
- Tournament
- Bundesliga · Bundesliga · Regular Season - 31
- Referee
- Martin Petersen (Germany)
- Venue
- Mewa Arena, Mainz
Season form
Both teams' recent trends — not a prediction for this match.
FSV Mainz 05
Over / Under 2.5
- Over 2.53049%
- Under 2.53151%
Both teams scored
- Yes3557%
- No2643%
Bayern München
Over / Under 2.5
- Over 2.56785%
- Under 2.51215%
Both teams scored
- Yes4861%
- No3139%
Match Events
Bayern München
Borussia Dortmund
RB Leipzig
VfB Stuttgart
1899 Hoffenheim
Bayer Leverkusen
SC Freiburg
Eintracht Frankfurt
FC Augsburg
FSV Mainz 05
Union Berlin
Borussia Mönchengladbach
Hamburger SV
1. FC Köln
Werder Bremen
FC Schalke 04
SV Elversberg
SC Paderborn 07If points are equal: 1. Goal difference 2. Goals scored 3. Head-to-head
P = Played · W = Won · D = Drawn · L = Lost · GF = Goals for · GA = Goals against · GD = Goal difference · Pts = Points
Possession
Shots
Pass accuracy
Statistics
FSV Mainz 05 host Bayern München on Saturday, 25 April 2026 at 13:30. The match is part of the Bundesliga 2026/2027 season.
FSV Mainz 05 3 – 4 Bayern München
Bayern München beat FSV Mainz 05 4-3 in Bundesliga on April 25, 2026.
Goals: D. Kohr (15'), P. Nebel (29'), S. Becker (45'), N. Jackson (53'), M. Olise (73'), J. Musiala (80'), H. Kane (83').
Bayern München controlled possession (70%) and registered 11 shots to 21.
The match was played at Mewa Arena in Mainz.