Statistical Prediction
Based on xG from last 17+ matches
Over / Under 2.5
74%
Over
26%
Under
Both Score
67%
Yes
33%
No
Most Likely Scores
2-1
9%
3-1
8%
1-1
7%
xG Profile (17 home / 17 away matches)
Bayern München
xG 3.16 · xGA 1.07
+0.84 vs xG
FSV Mainz 05
xG 1.55 · xGA 1.94
-0.2 vs xG
Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.
Bayern München vs FSV Mainz 05 — Bundesliga 2026
Bundesliga·2026📍Allianz Arena- Date
- Dec 14, 2025, 4:30 PM
- Tournament
- Bundesliga · Regular Season - 14
- Referee
- Robin Braun (Germany)
- Venue
- Allianz Arena, Munich
Season form
Both teams' recent trends — not a prediction for this match.
Bayern München
Over / Under 2.5
- Over 2.54988%
- Under 2.5713%
Both teams scored
- Yes3868%
- No1832%
FSV Mainz 05
Over / Under 2.5
- Over 2.51851%
- Under 2.51749%
Both teams scored
- Yes2160%
- No1440%
Match Events
Head to Head
Bayern München
Borussia Dortmund
RB Leipzig
VfB Stuttgart
1899 Hoffenheim
Bayer Leverkusen
SC Freiburg
Eintracht Frankfurt
FC Augsburg
FSV Mainz 05
Union Berlin
Borussia Mönchengladbach
Hamburger SV
1. FC Köln
Werder Bremen
VfL Wolfsburg
1. FC Heidenheim
FC St. Pauli
SC Paderborn 07If points are equal: 1. Goal difference 2. Goals scored 3. Head-to-head
P = Played · W = Won · D = Drawn · L = Lost · GF = Goals for · GA = Goals against · GD = Goal difference · Pts = Points
Possession
Shots
Pass accuracy
Statistics
Bayern München host FSV Mainz 05 on Sunday, 14 December 2025 at 16:30. The match is part of the Bundesliga 2026/2027 season.
Bundesliga: Bayern München 2–2 FSV Mainz 05
Bayern München and FSV Mainz 05 drew 2-2 in Bundesliga on December 14, 2025.
Goals: L. Karl (29'), K. Potulski (45'), Lee Jae-Sung (67'), H. Kane (87' pen).
Bayern München controlled possession (85%) and registered 24 shots to 5.
The match was played at Allianz Arena in Munich.