Scoreo
FootballHockeyTennisBasketballVolleyballHandballBaseballRugbyMMAFormula 1

FSV Frankfurt U19 vs Schott Mainz U19 — U19 Bundesliga 2019

FSV Frankfurt U19
FSV Frankfurt U19
FT
4 – 1
HT: 2 – 1
Schott Mainz U19
Schott Mainz U19
D. Meene 66'
S. Binz 54'
S. Orhan 41'
A. Masjedizadah 37'
M. Satik 22' (pen)
9/6/2025U19 BundesligaU19 Bundesliga · Round 3Rasenplatz Bornheim

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 26+ matches

FSV Frankfurt U1957%
×Draw19%
Schott Mainz U1924%
✓ Correct in 51 of 100 matches — 6 more than always backing the home side
Model
50.6%
Always home
44.7%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.6% correct across 576,853 matches, vs 44.7% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.9% correct · Away picks 49.7% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

FSV Frankfurt U19
2.42
Schott Mainz U19
1.52

FSV Frankfurt U19 creates 59% more chances

Season form · 31 home / 26 away

creates per match

FSV Frankfurt U19
1.52
Schott Mainz U19
1.08

allows per match

FSV Frankfurt U19
1.97
Schott Mainz U19
3.31

finishing

FSV Frankfurt U19+0.00on par
Schott Mainz U19+0.00on par

Total goals

75%Over
  • Over75
  • Under25

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

71%Yes
  • Yes71
  • No29

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

FSV Frankfurt U19 ↓

Schott Mainz U19 →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–02%
0–13%
0–22%
0–31%
0–40%
1
1–05%
1–17%
1–26%
1–33%
1–41%
2
2–06%
2–19%
2–27%
2–33%
2–41%
3
3–05%
3–17%
3–25%
3–33%
3–41%
4
4–03%
4–14%
4–23%
4–32%
4–41%

Most likely 2–1 (9%) · grid covers 90% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
98%2%1.5
90%10%2.5
75%25%3.5
55%45%4.5
35%65%

Double chance

FSV Frankfurt U19 or draw
76%
FSV Frankfurt U19 or Schott Mainz U19
81%
Draw or Schott Mainz U19
43%

Winning margin

FSV Frankfurt U19 wins by 2+
36%
Schott Mainz U19 wins by 2+
11%

Team goals

FSV Frankfurt U19 1+ goals
91%
FSV Frankfurt U19 2+ goals
69%
FSV Frankfurt U19 3+ goals
43%
Schott Mainz U19 1+ goals
78%
Schott Mainz U19 2+ goals
45%
Schott Mainz U19 3+ goals
20%

Draw no bet

FSV Frankfurt U19 (draw refunded)
71%
Schott Mainz U19 (draw refunded)
29%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
64%
Both score & under 3
7%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

FSV Frankfurt U19 at home — creates 1.52, concedes 1.97 · 31 matches

Schott Mainz U19 away — creates 1.08, concedes 3.31 · 26 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

FSV Frankfurt U19 attack 1.52 + Schott Mainz U19 defence 3.31 → ÷2 → 2.42

Schott Mainz U19 attack 1.08 + FSV Frankfurt U19 defence 1.97 → ÷2 → 1.52

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 57%?"

FSV Frankfurt U19 scores more
57%
level
19%
Schott Mainz U19 scores more
24%

FSV Frankfurt U19 at 57% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 57% does not mean "FSV Frankfurt U19 will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Match Events

22'
M. SatikPenalty
37'
A. Masjedizadah
41'
S. Orhan
54'
S. Binz
66'
D. Meene
FSV
Schott
B. Yelken
Manager: B. Yelken
P. Staegemann
Manager: P. Staegemann

Match Recap: FSV Frankfurt U19 vs Schott Mainz U19

FSV Frankfurt U19 beat Schott Mainz U19 4-1 in U19 Bundesliga on September 6, 2025.

Goals: M. Satik (22' pen), A. Masjedizadah (37'), S. Orhan (41'), S. Binz (54'), D. Meene (66').

The match was played at Rasenplatz Bornheim in Frankfurt am Main.