Scoreo

FSV Frankfurt U19 vs Blau-Weiß Königsdorf U19U19 Bundesliga 2019

N. Zaatan 77'
D. Demir 72'
L. Kirnich 48'
4/12/2025U19 BundesligaU19 Bundesliga · 2nd Phase Group B - 10BSA Nieder-Eschbach

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 7+ matches

FSV Frankfurt U1952%
×Draw22%
Blau-Weiß Königsdorf U1926%
Correct in 51 of 100 matches — 6 more than always backing the home side
Model
50.6%
Always home
44.7%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.6% correct across 576,853 matches, vs 44.7% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.9% correct · Away picks 49.7% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

FSV Frankfurt U19
1.98
Blau-Weiß Königsdorf U19
1.34

FSV Frankfurt U19 creates 48% more chances

Season form · 31 home / 7 away

creates per match

FSV Frankfurt U19
1.52
Blau-Weiß Königsdorf U19
0.71

allows per match

FSV Frankfurt U19
1.97
Blau-Weiß Königsdorf U19
2.43

finishing

FSV Frankfurt U19+0.00on par
Blau-Weiß Königsdorf U19+0.00on par

Total goals

64%Over
  • Over64
  • Under36

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

64%Yes
  • Yes64
  • No36

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

FSV Frankfurt U19

Blau-Weiß Königsdorf U19
0
1
2
3
4
0
004%
015%
023%
031%
040%
1
107%
1110%
126%
133%
141%
2
207%
2110%
226%
233%
241%
3
305%
316%
324%
332%
341%
4
402%
413%
422%
431%
440%

Most likely 1–1 (10%) · grid covers 94% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
96%4%1.5
84%16%2.5
64%36%3.5
42%58%4.5
24%76%

Double chance

FSV Frankfurt U19 or draw
74%
FSV Frankfurt U19 or Blau-Weiß Königsdorf U19
78%
Draw or Blau-Weiß Königsdorf U19
48%

Winning margin

FSV Frankfurt U19 wins by 2+
30%
Blau-Weiß Königsdorf U19 wins by 2+
11%

Team goals

FSV Frankfurt U19 1+ goals
86%
FSV Frankfurt U19 2+ goals
59%
FSV Frankfurt U19 3+ goals
31%
Blau-Weiß Königsdorf U19 1+ goals
74%
Blau-Weiß Königsdorf U19 2+ goals
39%
Blau-Weiß Königsdorf U19 3+ goals
15%

Draw no bet

FSV Frankfurt U19 (draw refunded)
67%
Blau-Weiß Königsdorf U19 (draw refunded)
33%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
54%
Both score & under 3
10%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

FSV Frankfurt U19 at homecreates 1.52, concedes 1.97 · 31 matches

Blau-Weiß Königsdorf U19 awaycreates 0.71, concedes 2.43 · 7 matches

Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

FSV Frankfurt U19 attack 1.52 + Blau-Weiß Königsdorf U19 defence 2.43 → ÷2 → 1.98

Blau-Weiß Königsdorf U19 attack 0.71 + FSV Frankfurt U19 defence 1.97 → ÷2 → 1.34

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 52%?"

FSV Frankfurt U19 scores more
52%
level
22%
Blau-Weiß Königsdorf U19 scores more
26%

FSV Frankfurt U19 at 52% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 52% does not mean "FSV Frankfurt U19 will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

FSV
Blau-Weiß
B. Yelken
Manager: B. Yelken
49'D. DemirMun Chan-Woo
76'T. WannerC. Dramali
85'M. JanssenL. Simunic

FSV Frankfurt U19 substitutes

L. Zampolin
Manager: L. Zampolin
75'L. StruzynaL. Altreuther
80'A. WilhelmJ. Mvutu
80'V. MorpakL. Pesch
90'N. KangelaS. Waldvogel

Blau-Weiß Königsdorf U19 substitutes

Match Recap: FSV Frankfurt U19 vs Blau-Weiß Königsdorf U19

FSV Frankfurt U19 beat Blau-Weiß Königsdorf U19 2-1 in U19 Bundesliga on April 12, 2025.

Goals: L. Kirnich (48'), D. Demir (72'), N. Zaatan (77').

The match was played at BSA Nieder-Eschbach in Frankfurt am Main.