Scoreo

Blau-Weiß Königsdorf U19 vs FSV Frankfurt U19U19 Bundesliga 2019

J. Mvutu 65'
V. Willems 47'
D. Demir 67'
N. Zaatan 50', 17'
S. Brkic 20'
D. Major 3'
2/16/2025U19 BundesligaU19 Bundesliga · 2nd Phase Group B - 3Sportplatz Königsdorf

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 7+ matches

Blau-Weiß Königsdorf U1940%
×Draw21%
FSV Frankfurt U1939%
Correct in 51 of 100 matches — 6 more than always backing the home side
Model
50.5%
Always home
44.6%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.5% correct across 577,134 matches, vs 44.6% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.8% correct · Away picks 49.5% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Blau-Weiß Königsdorf U19
2.05
FSV Frankfurt U19
2.04

Both teams create about equally

Season form · 7 home / 31 away

creates per match

Blau-Weiß Königsdorf U19
2.00
FSV Frankfurt U19
1.23

allows per match

Blau-Weiß Königsdorf U19
2.86
FSV Frankfurt U19
2.10

finishing

Blau-Weiß Königsdorf U19+0.00on par
FSV Frankfurt U19+0.00on par

Total goals

77%Over
  • Over77
  • Under23

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

76%Yes
  • Yes76
  • No24

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Blau-Weiß Königsdorf U19

FSV Frankfurt U19
0
1
2
3
4
0
002%
013%
024%
032%
041%
1
103%
117%
127%
135%
143%
2
204%
217%
227%
235%
243%
3
302%
315%
325%
333%
342%
4
401%
413%
423%
432%
441%

Most likely 1–1 (7%) · grid covers 90% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
98%2%1.5
91%9%2.5
77%23%3.5
58%42%4.5
38%62%

Double chance

Blau-Weiß Königsdorf U19 or draw
61%
Blau-Weiß Königsdorf U19 or FSV Frankfurt U19
79%
Draw or FSV Frankfurt U19
60%

Winning margin

Blau-Weiß Königsdorf U19 wins by 2+
22%
FSV Frankfurt U19 wins by 2+
22%

Team goals

Blau-Weiß Königsdorf U19 1+ goals
87%
Blau-Weiß Königsdorf U19 2+ goals
61%
Blau-Weiß Königsdorf U19 3+ goals
33%
FSV Frankfurt U19 1+ goals
87%
FSV Frankfurt U19 2+ goals
60%
FSV Frankfurt U19 3+ goals
33%

Draw no bet

Blau-Weiß Königsdorf U19 (draw refunded)
50%
FSV Frankfurt U19 (draw refunded)
50%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
69%
Both score & under 3
7%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Blau-Weiß Königsdorf U19 at homecreates 2.00, concedes 2.86 · 7 matches

FSV Frankfurt U19 awaycreates 1.23, concedes 2.10 · 31 matches

Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Blau-Weiß Königsdorf U19 attack 2.00 + FSV Frankfurt U19 defence 2.10 → ÷2 → 2.05

FSV Frankfurt U19 attack 1.23 + Blau-Weiß Königsdorf U19 defence 2.86 → ÷2 → 2.04

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 40%?"

Blau-Weiß Königsdorf U19 scores more
40%
level
21%
FSV Frankfurt U19 scores more
39%

Blau-Weiß Königsdorf U19 at 40% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 40% does not mean "Blau-Weiß Königsdorf U19 will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Blau-Weiß
FSV
L. Zampolin
Manager: L. Zampolin
46'J. MvutuL. Pesch
68'N. KangelaL. Altreuther
85'A. WilhelmM. Schudy
87'A. VaitsarasL. Struzyna
87'C. BravoL. Kirnich
87'L. KochE. Kovanci

Blau-Weiß Königsdorf U19 substitutes

B. Yelken
Manager: B. Yelken
53'S. KusumovicL. Simunic
53'Y. AtesM. Akhouji
60'I. SoytürkC. Dramali
60'Mun Chan-WooD. Meene
66'D. DemirN. Zaatan
66'T. GrimmerD. Major

U19 Bundesliga: Blau-Weiß Königsdorf U19 2–5 FSV Frankfurt U19

FSV Frankfurt U19 beat Blau-Weiß Königsdorf U19 5-2 in U19 Bundesliga on February 16, 2025.

Goals: D. Major (3'), N. Zaatan (17', 50'), S. Brkic (20'), V. Willems (47'), J. Mvutu (65'), D. Demir (67').

The match was played at Sportplatz Königsdorf in Frechen.