FSV Frankfurt U19 3–3 Alemannia Aachen U19

FSV Frankfurt U19

FT

3 – 3

HT: 2 – 1

Alemannia Aachen U19

N. Zaatan 66'

D. Meene 18', 10'

J. Pollmann 87', 48', 20'

5/17/2025

U19 Bundesliga · 2nd Phase Group B - 14Rasenplatz Bornheim

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 31+ matches

FSV Frankfurt U1948%

×Draw22%

Alemannia Aachen U1931%

✓ Correct in 51 of 100 matches — 6 more than always backing the home side

Model

50.6%

Always home

44.7%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.6% correct across 576,853 matches, vs 44.7% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.9% correct · Away picks 49.7% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

FSV Frankfurt U19Expected goals in this matchAlemannia Aachen U19

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

2.02

1.60

FSV Frankfurt U19

2.02

Alemannia Aachen U19

1.60

FSV Frankfurt U19 creates 26% more chances

Season form · 31 home / 60 away

1.52

creates per match

1.23

1.97

allows per match

2.53

creates per match

FSV Frankfurt U19

1.52

Alemannia Aachen U19

1.23

allows per match

FSV Frankfurt U19

1.97

Alemannia Aachen U19

2.53

+0.00on par

finishing

+0.00on par

finishing

FSV Frankfurt U19+0.00on par

Alemannia Aachen U19+0.00on par

Total goals

Over70
Under30

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

Yes69
No31

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

FSV Frankfurt U19 ↓

Alemannia Aachen U19 →

0

1

2

3

4

0

0–03%

0–14%

0–23%

0–32%

0–41%

1

1–05%

1–19%

1–27%

1–34%

1–41%

2

2–05%

2–19%

2–27%

2–34%

2–42%

3

3–04%

3–16%

3–25%

3–33%

3–41%

4

4–02%

4–13%

4–22%

4–31%

4–41%

Most likely 1–1 (9%) · grid covers 93% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5

97%3%1.5

88%12%2.5

70%30%3.5

49%51%4.5

29%71%

Double chance

FSV Frankfurt U19 or draw

69%

FSV Frankfurt U19 or Alemannia Aachen U19

78%

Draw or Alemannia Aachen U19

52%

Winning margin

FSV Frankfurt U19 wins by 2+

27%

Alemannia Aachen U19 wins by 2+

15%

Team goals

FSV Frankfurt U19 1+ goals

87%

FSV Frankfurt U19 2+ goals

60%

FSV Frankfurt U19 3+ goals

33%

Alemannia Aachen U19 1+ goals

80%

Alemannia Aachen U19 2+ goals

47%

Alemannia Aachen U19 3+ goals

22%

Draw no bet

FSV Frankfurt U19 (draw refunded)

61%

Alemannia Aachen U19 (draw refunded)

39%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals

60%

Both score & under 3

9%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

FSV Frankfurt U19 at home — creates 1.52, concedes 1.97 · 31 matches

Alemannia Aachen U19 away — creates 1.23, concedes 2.53 · 60 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

FSV Frankfurt U19 attack 1.52 + Alemannia Aachen U19 defence 2.53 → ÷2 → 2.02

Alemannia Aachen U19 attack 1.23 + FSV Frankfurt U19 defence 1.97 → ÷2 → 1.60

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 48%?"

FSV Frankfurt U19 scores more

48%

level

22%

Alemannia Aachen U19 scores more

31%

FSV Frankfurt U19 at 48% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

injuries & suspensions
the matchday lineup
motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
weather & pitch condition
in-game coaching decisions

So 48% does not mean "FSV Frankfurt U19 will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Match Events

10'

18'

20'

48'

53'

A. Marjane← C. Dramali

53'

F. Classen← M. Birinci

63'

M. Neuss← M. Fork

66'

N. Zaatan

67'

D. Demir← T. Wanner

70'

F. Türkmen← D. Franzen

70'

L. Busch← Y. Selim

83'

B. Statovci← J. Luabeya

83'

R. Edun← Arian Amyn

83'

S. Hobert← T. Kogel

84'

G. da Silva Pereira← F. Classen

84'

S. Orhan← D. Meene

87'

J. Pollmann

FSV

Alemannia

▼

▼

⚽3

▼

▼

▼

▼

▼

▼

▼

⚽2

▼

⚽

Manager: B. Yelken

53'▲A. Marjane←▼C. Dramali

53'▲F. Classen←▼M. Birinci

67'▲D. Demir←▼T. Wanner

84'▲G. da Silva Pereira←▼F. Classen

84'▲S. Orhan←▼D. Meene

FSV Frankfurt U19 substitutes

MarjaneClassenDemirPereiraOrhanSeiler

Manager: C. Wissing

63'▲M. Neuss←▼M. Fork

70'▲F. Türkmen←▼D. Franzen

70'▲L. Busch←▼Y. Selim

83'▲B. Statovci←▼J. Luabeya

83'▲R. Edun←▼Arian Amyn

83'▲S. Hobert←▼T. Kogel

Alemannia Aachen U19 substitutes

NeussTürkmenBuschStatovciEdunHobertErvens

Match Recap: FSV Frankfurt U19 vs Alemannia Aachen U19

FSV Frankfurt U19 and Alemannia Aachen U19 drew 3-3 in U19 Bundesliga on May 17, 2025.

Goals: D. Meene (10', 18'), J. Pollmann (20', 48', 87'), N. Zaatan (66').

The match was played at Rasenplatz Bornheim in Frankfurt am Main.

FSV Frankfurt U19 vs Alemannia Aachen U19 — U19 Bundesliga 2019

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Total goals

Both teams score

Match Events

Head to Head

Match Recap: FSV Frankfurt U19 vs Alemannia Aachen U19